Match Info

LIGHTWEIGHT - MEN: UFC (WORLD)

Date: 1 July 2023, Saturday

Location: UFC Apex (Las Vegas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Hungary	Sport 1
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay


	Damir Ismagulov		Grant Dawson

	1	2
	1.91	1.91
	1.87	1.95
	1.91	1.9
	1.88	2
	1.91	1.91
	1.86	1.92
	1.8	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.69)	1.93 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Damir Ismagulov
50.7%

Grant Dawson
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Damir Ismagulov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Damir Ismagulov's form might have worsened.

Grant Dawson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grant Dawson's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Damir Ismagulov - Grant Dawson Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Ismagulov will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Dawson will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dawson: 42.8% – 90.6%.

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Preview

No spectators.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both fighters.

Recently, the fighters did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Damir Ismagulov
MMA
17.12.22	Arman Tsarukyan - Damir Ismagulov	Tsarukyan A. win ✺
18.06.22	Damir Ismagulov - Guram Kutateladze	Ismagulov D. win ✺
30.10.21	Damir Ismagulov - Magomed Mustafaev	Canceled ✺
22.05.21	Rafael Alves - Damir Ismagulov	Ismagulov D. win ✺
31.08.19	Damir Ismagulov - Thiago Moises	Ismagulov D. win Ismagulov D. - Round 3 Points ✺
- Grant Dawson
MMA
05.11.22	Grant Dawson - Mark O. Madsen	Dawson G. - 3rd Round TKO ✺
30.04.22	Jared Gordon - Grant Dawson	Dawson G. - 3rd Round TKO ✺
23.10.21	Grant Dawson - Rick Glenn	Draw Draw ✺
02.10.21	Carlos Diego Ferreira - Grant Dawson	Canceled ✺
20.03.21	Grant Dawson - Leonardo Santos	Dawson G. - 3rd Round KO ✺

Damir Ismagulov - Grant Dawson: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide