Match Info

Date: 30 July 2022, Saturday

Location: American Airlines Center (Dallas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hungary	Sport 1
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Viaplay
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Derrick Lewis		Sergey Pavlovich

	1	2
	2.3	1.62
	2.28	1.63
	2.09	1.66
	2.34	1.66
	2.1	1.73
	2.42	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (1.84)	1.64 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derrick Lewis
42.1%

Sergey Pavlovich
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derrick Lewis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derrick Lewis's form might have worsened.

Sergey Pavlovich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sergey Pavlovich's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Derrick Lewis - Sergey Pavlovich Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Lewis will win (votes: 9 - 33.3%). Pavlovich will win (votes: 18 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pavlovich: 48.9% – 84.5%.

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Preview

Pavlovich will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the fighters did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derrick Lewis
MMA
12.02.22	Derrick Lewis - Tai Tuivasa	Tuivasa T. - 2nd Round KO ✺
18.12.21	Derrick Lewis - Chris Daukaus	Lewis D. - 1st Round KO ✺
08.08.21	Derrick Lewis - Ciryl Gane	Gane C. - 3rd Round TKO ✺
20.02.21	Curtis Blaydes - Derrick Lewis	Lewis D. win Lewis D. - Round 2 / 1:26 Knockout (Punches) ✺
08.08.20	Derrick Lewis - Alexey Oleinik	Lewis D. win Lewis D. - Round 2 Technical Knockout (Punches) ✺
- Sergey Pavlovich
MMA
19.03.22	Shamil Abdurahimov - Sergey Pavlovich	Pavlovich S. - 1st Round TKO ✺
04.09.21	Tom Aspinall - Sergey Pavlovich	Canceled ✺
08.08.20	Sergey Pavlovich - Ciryl Gane	Canceled ✺
26.10.19	Sergey Pavlovich - Maurice Greene	Pavlovich S. win Pavlovich S. - Round 1 / 2:11 Technical Knockout (Punches) ✺
20.04.19	Sergey Pavlovich - Marcelo Golm	Pavlovich S. win Pavlovich S. - Round 1 / 1:06 Knockout (Punch) ✺

Derrick Lewis - Sergey Pavlovich: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide