Match Info

Date: 30 July 2022, Saturday

Location: American Airlines Center (Dallas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN


	Drew Dober		Rafael Alves

	1	2
	1.57	2.5
	1.57	2.4
	1.55	2.29
	1.62	2.43
	1.57	2.38
	1.58	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.41)	2.39 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Drew Dober
60.3%

Rafael Alves
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Drew Dober has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Drew Dober's form might have worsened.

Rafael Alves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rafael Alves's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	0%	78.6%

Drew Dober - Rafael Alves Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Dober will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Alves will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alves: 57.1% – 100%.

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Preview

Dober will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the fighters did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Drew Dober
MMA
12.03.22	Drew Dober - Terrance McKinney	Dober D. - 1st Round KO ✺
12.03.22	Drew Dober - Rick Glenn	Canceled ✺
12.06.21	Drew Dober - Brad Riddell	Riddell B. win ✺
06.03.21	Islam Makhachev - Drew Dober	Makhachev I. win Makhachev I. - Round 3 / 1:37 Submission (Arm-triangle choke) ✺
13.05.20	Drew Dober - Alexander Hernandez	Dober D. win Dober D. - Round 2 / 4:25 Technical Knockout (Punches) ✺
- Rafael Alves
MMA
13.11.21	Marc Diakiese - Rafael Alves	Alves R. - 1st Round TKO ✺
22.05.21	Rafael Alves - Damir Ismagulov	Ismagulov D. win ✺
20.02.21	Rafael Alves - Pat Sabatini	Canceled ✺
20.02.21	Mike Trizano - Rafael Alves	Canceled ✺

Drew Dober - Rafael Alves: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide