Match Info

LIGHTWEIGHT - MEN: UFC

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday

Location: UFC Apex (Las Vegas, NV)

Where to Watch on TV:


	Elves Brener		Esteban Ribovics

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Elves Brener
31.7%

Esteban Ribovics
68.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

70.9%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elves Brener has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-39.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elves Brener's form might have worsened.

Esteban Ribovics has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+39.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Esteban Ribovics's recent form is better than expected.

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In this match, Ribovics is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Brener won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elves Brener
MMA
03.08.24	Joel Alvarez - Elves Brener	Alvarez J. - 3rd Round TKO ✺
04.05.24	Elves Brener - Myktybek Orolbai	Orolbai M. win ✺
04.11.23	Elves Brener - Kaynan Kruschewsky	Brener E. - 1st Round KO ✺
04.11.23	Elves Brener - Esteban Ribovics	Canceled ✺
01.07.23	Guram Kutateladze - Elves Brener	Brener E. - 3rd Round TKO ✺
- Esteban Ribovics
MMA
01.03.25	Nasrat Haqparast - Esteban Ribovics	Haqparast N. win ✺
14.09.24	Daniel Zellhuber - Esteban Ribovics	Ribovics E. win ✺
11.05.24	Terrance McKinney - Esteban Ribovics	Ribovics E. - 1st Round KO ✺
04.11.23	Elves Brener - Esteban Ribovics	Canceled ✺
08.07.23	Kamuela Kirk - Esteban Ribovics	Ribovics E. win ✺

MMA
04.11.23	Elves Brener - Esteban Ribovics	Canceled

Elves Brener - Esteban Ribovics: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide