Match Info

LIGHTWEIGHT - MEN: UFC (World)

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Intuit Dome (Inglewood, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Iceland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Fox Sports 2
Sweden	Viaplay


	Grant Dawson		Carlos Diego Ferreira

	1	2
	1.36	3.25
	1.36	3.2
	1.38	3.15
	1.32	3.5
	1.38	2.93
	1.36	3.1
	1.37	2.98
	1.38	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.29)	3.16 ↓ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grant Dawson
69.8%

Carlos Diego Ferreira
30.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

73.3%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grant Dawson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Carlos Diego Ferreira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Grant Dawson - Carlos Diego Ferreira Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Dawson will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Ferreira will win (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dawson: 50.5% – 99.5%.

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Preview

In this match Dawson is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Dawson won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grant Dawson
MMA
12.10.24	Grant Dawson - Rafa García	Dawson G. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
01.06.24	Grant Dawson - Joe Solecki	Dawson G. win ✺
07.10.23	Grant Dawson - Bobby Green	Green B. - 1st Round KO ✺
01.07.23	Damir Ismagulov - Grant Dawson	Dawson G. win ✺
05.11.22	Grant Dawson - Mark O. Madsen	Dawson G. - 3rd Round TKO ✺
- Carlos Diego Ferreira
MMA
11.05.24	Carlos Diego Ferreira - Mateusz Rębecki	Ferreira D. - 3rd Round TKO ✺
20.05.23	Carlos Diego Ferreira - Michael Johnson	Ferreira D. - 2nd Round KO ✺
30.07.22	Drakkar Klose - Carlos Diego Ferreira	Canceled ✺
18.12.21	Carlos Diego Ferreira - Mateusz Gamrot	Gamrot M. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
02.10.21	Carlos Diego Ferreira - Grant Dawson	Canceled ✺

Latest Head to Head

MMA
02.10.21	Carlos Diego Ferreira - Grant Dawson	Canceled

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grant Dawson
MMA
24.10.26	Grant Dawson - Nurullo Aliev	✺

Grant Dawson - Carlos Diego Ferreira: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide