Match Info

LIGHTWEIGHT - MEN: UFC

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Etihad Arena (Abu Dhabi) 🌤️ ...


	Ismael Bonfim		Axel Sola

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Ismael Bonfim
36.2%

Axel Sola
63.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37%

63%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ismael Bonfim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Axel Sola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Bonfim will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Sola will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sola (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Sola could have a small edge in this match.

The fighters have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ismael Bonfim
MMA
08.11.25	Chris Padilla - Ismael Bonfim	Padilla C. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
15.02.25	Ismael Bonfim - Nazim Sadykhov	Sadykhov N. - 1st Round TKO ✺
04.05.24	Ismael Bonfim - Vinc Pichel	Bonfim I. win ✺
04.11.23	Ismael Bonfim - Vinc Pichel	Canceled ✺
01.07.23	Ismael Bonfim - Benoit Saint-Denis	Saint-Denis B. - 1st Round TKO ✺
- Axel Sola
MMA
21.03.26	Mason Jones - Axel Sola	Jones M. win ✺
06.09.25	Axel Sola - Rhys McKee	Sola A. - 3rd Round TKO ✺

Ismael Bonfim - Axel Sola: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide