Match Info

WELTERWEIGHT - MEN: UFC

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Rogers Place (Edmonton, AB)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 6, Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 1


	Joaquin Buckley		Mike Malott

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Joaquin Buckley
46.3%

Mike Malott
53.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.5%

56.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joaquin Buckley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Mike Malott has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Buckley (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Joaquin Buckley will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

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In this match, both fighters have fairly balanced chances of victory.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joaquin Buckley
MMA
09.05.26	Sean Brady - Joaquin Buckley	Brady S. win ✺
15.06.25	Kamaru Usman - Joaquin Buckley	Usman K. win ✺
15.12.24	Colby Covington - Joaquin Buckley	Buckley J. - 3rd Round TKO ✺
14.12.24	Ian Machado Garry - Joaquin Buckley	Canceled ✺
05.10.24	Stephen Thompson - Joaquin Buckley	Buckley J. - 3rd Round KO ✺
- Mike Malott
MMA
18.04.26	Gilbert Burns - Mike Malott	Malott M. - 3rd Round TKO ✺
18.10.25	Kevin Holland - Mike Malott	Malott M. win ✺
10.05.25	Mike Malott - Charlie Radtke	Malott M. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
02.11.24	Mike Malott - Trevin Giles	Malott M. win ✺
13.07.24	Mike Malott - Gilbert Urbina	Canceled ✺

Joaquin Buckley - Mike Malott: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide