Match Info

Date: 18 July 2020, Saturday


	Joel Alvarez		Joseph Duffy

	1	2
	3.75	1.28
	3.4	1.32
	3.55	1.25
	3.4	1.34
	3.5	1.3
	3.38	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↓ (3.73)	1.3 ↑ (1.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joel Alvarez
27.1%

Joseph Duffy
72.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

74.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joel Alvarez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Joseph Duffy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Joel Alvarez - Joseph Duffy Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Alvarez will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Duffy will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alvarez: 35.2% – 92%.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joel Alvarez
MMA
01.06.19	Danilo Belluardo - Joel Alvarez	Alvarez J. win Alvarez J. - Round 2 Technical Knockout (Punches) ✺
23.02.19	Damir Ismagulov - Joel Alvarez	Ismagulov D. win Ismagulov D. - Round 3 / 5:00 Points ✺
- Joseph Duffy
MMA
16.03.19	Marc Diakiese - Joseph Duffy	Diakiese M. win Diakiese M. - Round 3 / 5:00 Points ✺
04.11.17	James Vick - Joseph Duffy	Vick J. win Vick J. - Round 2 / 4:59 Technical Knockout (Punches) ✺
18.03.17	Joseph Duffy - Reza Madadi	Duffy J. win Duffy J. - Round 3 / 5:00 Points ✺
07.07.16	Joseph Duffy - Mitch Clarke	Duffy J. win Duffy J. - Round 1 Submission ✺
02.01.16	Dustin Poirier - Joseph Duffy	Poirier D. win ✺

Joel Alvarez - Joseph Duffy: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide