Match Info

MIDDLEWEIGHT - MEN: UFC (WORLD)

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Hungary	Sport 1
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV2
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay


	Kamaru Usman		Khamzat Chimaev

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.65	1.29
	4	1.26
	4	1.27
	3.5	1.3
	3.68	1.27
	3.77	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↑ (3.17)	1.28 ↓ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kamaru Usman
25.6%

Khamzat Chimaev
74.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

70.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kamaru Usman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Khamzat Chimaev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.3%	0%	46.7%

Kamaru Usman - Khamzat Chimaev Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Usman will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Chimaev will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Usman: 28.1% – 78.5%.

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Preview

In this match Chimaev is a favorite.

Recently, the fighters did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kamaru Usman
MMA
18.03.23	Leon Edwards - Kamaru Usman	Edwards L. win ✺
21.08.22	Kamaru Usman - Leon Edwards	Edwards L. - 5th Round KO ✺
07.11.21	Kamaru Usman - Colby Covington	Usman K. win ✺
25.04.21	Kamaru Usman - Jorge Masvidal	Usman K. - 2nd Round KO ✺
14.02.21	Kamaru Usman - Gilbert Burns	Usman K. win Usman K. - Round 3 Technical Knockout (Punches) ✺
- Khamzat Chimaev
MMA
21.10.23	Paulo Henrique Costa - Khamzat Chimaev	Canceled ✺
11.09.22	Khamzat Chimaev - Nate Diaz	Canceled ✺
10.09.22	Khamzat Chimaev - Kevin Holland	Chimaev K. - 1st Round TKO ✺
09.04.22	Gilbert Burns - Khamzat Chimaev	Chimaev K. win ✺
30.10.21	Jingliang Li - Khamzat Chimaev	Chimaev K. - 1st Round TKO ✺

Kamaru Usman - Khamzat Chimaev: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide