Match Info

FLYWEIGHT - MEN: UFC

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: UFC Apex (Las Vegas, NV)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	RMC Sport 1
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Polsat Sport 1
Portugal	Sport TV1
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Discovery+, TNT Sports 2


	Matt Schnell		Joseph Morales

	1	2
	4.8	1.2
	4.75	1.2
	4.88	1.21
	3.25	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.42 ↑ (3.25)	1.24 ↓ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matt Schnell
21.9%

Joseph Morales
78.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.5%

70.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matt Schnell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matt Schnell's form might have worsened.

Joseph Morales has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Joseph Morales's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Matt Schnell - Joseph Morales Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Schnell will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Morales will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Schnell (votes: 2 - 50%). Morales (votes: 2 - 50%).

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Preview

No spectators.

In this match, Morales is seen as the favorite.

The fighters have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matt Schnell
MMA
26.04.25	Matt Schnell - Jimmy Flick	Schnell M. win ✺
07.09.24	Matt Schnell - Cody Durden	Durden C. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
07.09.24	Matt Schnell - Alessandro Costa	Canceled ✺
02.03.24	Matt Schnell - Steve Erceg	Erceg S. - 2nd Round KO ✺
11.11.23	Matt Schnell - Steve Erceg	Canceled ✺
- Joseph Morales
MMA
16.08.25	Alibi Idiris - Joseph Morales	Morales J. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
04.03.22	Joseph Morales - Sidemar Honorio	Morales J. win ✺
17.10.21	Mark Climaco - Joseph Morales	Canceled
02.08.21	Joseph Morales - Kevin Wirth	Morales J. win ✺
10.11.18	Joseph Morales - Eric Shelton	Shelton E. win Shelton E. - Round 3 / 5:00 Points ✺

Matt Schnell - Joseph Morales: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Matt Schnell - Joseph Morales Predictions

Preview

Form

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