Match Info

BANTAMWEIGHT - MEN: UFC

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: T-Mobile Arena (Las Vegas, NV)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Polsat Sport 1
Portugal	Sport TV1
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 1


	Merab Dvalishvili		Cory Sandhagen

	1	2
	1.22	4.5
	1.23	4.25
	1.17	5.35
	1.26	4.2
			Watch
	1.29	3.6
	1.27	3.6
	1.23	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.26)	4.21 ↑ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Merab Dvalishvili
77.3%

Cory Sandhagen
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.7%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merab Dvalishvili has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Cory Sandhagen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.5%	0%	11.5%

Merab Dvalishvili - Cory Sandhagen Predictions

Users Predictions: Merab Dvalishvili will win (23 of 26 users predict this - 88.46%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.18% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Merab Dvalishvili will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

#ad

Preview

Dvalishvili Merab defending title.

In this match, Dvalishvili is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the fighters.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merab Dvalishvili
MMA
08.06.25	Merab Dvalishvili - Sean OMalley	Dvalishvili M. - 3rd Round TKO ✺
18.01.25	Merab Dvalishvili - Umar Nurmagomedov	Dvalishvili M. win ✺
15.09.24	Sean OMalley - Merab Dvalishvili	Dvalishvili M. win ✺
17.02.24	Merab Dvalishvili - Henry Cejudo	Dvalishvili M. win ✺
11.03.23	Petr Yan - Merab Dvalishvili	Dvalishvili M. win ✺
- Cory Sandhagen
MMA
04.05.25	Cory Sandhagen - Deiveson Figueiredo	Sandhagen C. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
03.08.24	Cory Sandhagen - Umar Nurmagomedov	Nurmagomedov U. win ✺
05.08.23	Cory Sandhagen - Rob Font	Sandhagen C. win ✺
05.08.23	Cory Sandhagen - Umar Nurmagomedov	Canceled ✺
25.03.23	Marlon Vera - Cory Sandhagen	Sandhagen C. win ✺

Merab Dvalishvili - Cory Sandhagen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide