Match Info

LIGHT HEAVYWEIGHT - MEN: UFC

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Accor Arena (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN 2, ESPN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	RMC Sport 1
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Fox Sports
Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 1


	Modestas Bukauskas		Paul Craig

	1	2
	1.3	3.5
	1.28	3.75
	1.27	3.95
	1.31	3.72
			Watch
	1.3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.3)	3.68 ↑ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Modestas Bukauskas
74%

Paul Craig
26%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

73.2%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Modestas Bukauskas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Paul Craig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Modestas Bukauskas - Paul Craig Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Bukauskas (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Craig (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

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Preview

In this match, Bukauskas is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the fighters.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Modestas Bukauskas
MMA
10.05.25	Modestas Bukauskas - Ion Cutelaba	Bukauskas M. win ✺
22.02.25	Modestas Bukauskas - Raffael Cerqueira	Bukauskas M. - 1st Round KO ✺
27.07.24	Modestas Bukauskas - Marcin Prachnio	Bukauskas M. - 3rd Round TKO ✺
04.11.23	Vitor Petrino - Modestas Bukauskas	Petrino V. - 2nd Round KO ✺
17.06.23	Zac Pauga - Modestas Bukauskas	Bukauskas M. win ✺
- Paul Craig
MMA
14.06.25	Paul Craig - Rodolfo Bellato	N/A not available ✺
17.05.25	Paul Craig - Rodolfo Bellato	Canceled ✺
16.11.24	Bo Nickal - Paul Craig	Nickal B. win ✺
04.05.24	Paul Craig - Caio Borralho	Borralho C. - 2nd Round KO ✺
18.11.23	Brendan Allen - Paul Craig	Allen B. - 3rd Round TKO ✺

Modestas Bukauskas - Paul Craig: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Modestas Bukauskas - Paul Craig Predictions

Preview

Form

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