Match Info

FEATHERWEIGHT - MEN: UFC

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Kaseya Center (Miami, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


	Patricio Freire		Aaron Pico

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Patricio Freire
30.7%

Aaron Pico
69.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.6%

72.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patricio Freire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Aaron Pico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

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In this match, Pico is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the fighters.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patricio Freire
MMA
06.09.25	Patricio Freire - Losene Keita	Canceled ✺
19.07.25	Dan Ige - Patricio Freire	Freire P. win ✺
12.04.25	Yair Rodriguez - Patricio Freire	Rodriguez Y. win ✺
22.03.24	Patricio Freire - Jeremy Kennedy	Freire P. - 3rd Round TKO ✺
24.02.24	Gabriel Alves Braga - Patricio Freire	Canceled ✺
- Aaron Pico
MMA
16.08.25	Lerone Murphy - Aaron Pico	Murphy L. - 1st Round KO ✺
26.07.25	Movsar Evloev - Aaron Pico	Canceled ✺
24.02.24	Henry Corrales - Aaron Pico	Pico A. - 1st Round TKO ✺
24.02.24	Gabriel Alves Braga - Aaron Pico	Canceled ✺
23.09.23	Aaron Pico - Pedro Carvalho	Pico A. - 1st Round TKO ✺

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

Patricio Freire - Aaron Pico: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide