Match Info

MIDDLEWEIGHT - MEN: UFC (WORLD)

Date: 22 July 2023, Saturday

Location: O2 Arena (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Hungary	Sport 2
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra
Portugal	Sport TV5
Sweden	Viaplay
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Paul Craig		André Muniz

	1	2
	2.75	1.48	Watch
	2.85	1.44
	2.75	1.45
	2.89	1.44
	2.75	1.44
	2.86	1.41
	2.66	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (1.51)	1.44 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paul Craig
34.1%

André Muniz
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paul Craig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-28.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paul Craig's form might have worsened.

André Muniz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+28.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting André Muniz's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Paul Craig - André Muniz Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Craig will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Muniz will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Craig: 23.1% – 88.1%.

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Preview

Muniz will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the fighters did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paul Craig
MMA
21.01.23	Paul Craig - Johnny Walker	Walker J. - 1st Round TKO ✺
23.07.22	Paul Craig - Volkan Oezdemir	Oezdemir V. win ✺
19.03.22	Nikita Krylov - Paul Craig	Craig P. - 1st Round TKO ✺
12.06.21	Paul Craig - Jamahal Hill	Craig P. - 1st Round TKO ✺
21.11.20	Mauricio Rua - Paul Craig	Craig P. win Craig P. - Round 2 / 3:36 Technical Knockout (Punches) ✺
- André Muniz
MMA
25.02.23	André Muniz - Brendan Allen	Allen B. - 3rd Round TKO ✺
02.07.22	Uriah Hall - André Muniz	Muniz A. win ✺
16.04.22	Uriah Hall - André Muniz	Canceled ✺
11.12.21	André Muniz - Eryk Anders	Muniz A. - 1st Round TKO ✺
15.05.21	Ronaldo Souza - André Muniz	Muniz A. - 1st Round TKO ✺

Paul Craig - André Muniz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide