Match Info

MIDDLEWEIGHT - MEN: UFC

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Wells Fargo Arena (Des Moines, IA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	RMC Sport 1
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Polsat Sport 1
Portugal	Sport TV1
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 1


	Reinier de Ridder		Bo Nickal

	1	2
	4	1.25
	3.95	1.26
	3.7	1.29
	4.26	1.24
			Watch
	3.6	1.29
	3.57	1.29
	3.7	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↑ (1.37)	1.27 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reinier de Ridder
25%

Bo Nickal
75%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.4%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reinier de Ridder has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-44.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Reinier de Ridder's form might have worsened.

Bo Nickal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+44.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bo Nickal's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Reinier de Ridder - Bo Nickal Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. de Ridder will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Nickal will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nickal: 62.2% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. de Ridder (votes: 2 - 50%). Nickal (votes: 2 - 50%).

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Preview

In this match, Nickal is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the fighters did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reinier de Ridder
MMA
18.01.25	Kevin Holland - Reinier de Ridder	De Ridder R. - 1st Round TKO ✺
09.11.24	Gerald Meerschaert - Reinier de Ridder	De Ridder R. - 3rd Round TKO ✺
01.03.24	Reinier de Ridder - Anatoly Malykhin	Malykhin A. - 3rd Round TKO ✺
03.12.22	Reinier de Ridder - Anatoly Malykhin	Malykhin A. - 1st Round KO ✺
22.07.22	Reinier de Ridder - Vitaly Bigdash	De Ridder R. - 1st Round TKO ✺
- Bo Nickal
MMA
16.11.24	Bo Nickal - Paul Craig	Nickal B. win ✺
13.04.24	Bo Nickal - Cody Brundage	Nickal B. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
08.07.23	Bo Nickal - Valentine Woodburn	Nickal B. - 1st Round TKO ✺
08.07.23	Bo Nickal - Tresean Gore	Canceled ✺
04.03.23	Bo Nickal - Jamie Pickett	Nickal B. - 1st Round TKO ✺

Reinier de Ridder - Bo Nickal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide