Match Info

Date: 6 August 2022, Saturday

Location: UFC Apex (Las Vegas)


	Sam Alvey		Michal Oleksiejczuk

	1	2
	6.5	1.12
	6.1	1.14
	5.2	1.13
	6	1.15
	5.5	1.14
	5.5	1.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.8 ↑ (1.18)	1.14 ↓ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sam Alvey
16.4%

Michal Oleksiejczuk
83.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

80.5%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sam Alvey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-64.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sam Alvey's form might have worsened.

Michal Oleksiejczuk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+64.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Michal Oleksiejczuk's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	0%	64.3%

Sam Alvey - Michal Oleksiejczuk Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Alvey will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Oleksiejczuk will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oleksiejczuk: 39.2% – 89.4%.

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Preview

In this match Oleksiejczuk is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the fighters did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sam Alvey
MMA
05.02.22	Sam Alvey - Brendan Allen	Allen B. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
05.02.22	Sam Alvey - Phil Hawes	Canceled ✺
28.08.21	Sam Alvey - Wellington Turman	Turman W. win ✺
31.07.21	Sam Alvey - Roman Kopylov	Canceled ✺
10.04.21	Sam Alvey - Julian Marquez	Marquez J. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
- Michal Oleksiejczuk
MMA
05.03.22	Dustin Jacoby - Michal Oleksiejczuk	Jacoby D. win ✺
30.10.21	Shamil Gamzatov - Michal Oleksiejczuk	Oleksiejczuk M. - 1st Round TKO ✺
27.03.21	Modestas Bukauskas - Michal Oleksiejczuk	Oleksiejczuk M. win ✺
22.02.20	Jim Crute - Michal Oleksiejczuk	Crute J. win Crute J. - Round 1 / 3:29 Submission (Kimura) ✺
28.09.19	Michal Oleksiejczuk - Ovince Saint Preux	Saint Preux O. win Saint Preux O. - Round 2 / 2:14 Submission (Shoulder Choke) ✺

Sam Alvey - Michal Oleksiejczuk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide