Match Info

WELTERWEIGHT - MEN: UFC

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Wells Fargo Arena (Des Moines, IA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	RMC Sport 1
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Polsat Sport 1
Portugal	Sport TV1
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 1


	Santiago Ponzinibbio		Daniel Rodriguez

	1	2
	1.67	2.25
	1.65	2.3
	1.75	2.13
	1.65	2.34
			Watch
	1.67	2.2
	1.73	2.08
	1.75	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2.04)	2.2 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santiago Ponzinibbio
56.5%

Daniel Rodriguez
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santiago Ponzinibbio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santiago Ponzinibbio's performance.

Daniel Rodriguez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daniel Rodriguez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Santiago Ponzinibbio - Daniel Rodriguez Predictions

Users Predictions: Santiago Ponzinibbio will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Santiago Ponzinibbio will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

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Preview

In this match, both fighters are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ponzinibbio won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santiago Ponzinibbio
MMA
11.01.25	Santiago Ponzinibbio - Carlston Lindsay Harris	Ponzinibbio S. - 3rd Round TKO ✺
14.07.24	Santiago Ponzinibbio - Muslim Salikhov	Salikhov M. win ✺
16.09.23	Daniel Rodriguez - Santiago Ponzinibbio	Canceled ✺
08.04.23	Kevin Holland - Santiago Ponzinibbio	Holland K. - 3rd Round KO ✺
10.12.22	Santiago Ponzinibbio - Alex Morono	Ponzinibbio S. - 3rd Round KO ✺
- Daniel Rodriguez
MMA
12.10.24	Daniel Rodriguez - Alex Morono	Rodriguez D. win ✺
22.06.24	Kelvin Gastelum - Daniel Rodriguez	Gastelum K. win ✺
16.09.23	Daniel Rodriguez - Santiago Ponzinibbio	Canceled ✺
13.05.23	Daniel Rodriguez - Ian Machado Garry	Machado Garry I. - 1st Round TKO ✺
05.11.22	Neil Magny - Daniel Rodriguez	Magny N. - 3rd Round TKO ✺

Latest Head to Head

MMA
16.09.23	Daniel Rodriguez - Santiago Ponzinibbio	Canceled

Santiago Ponzinibbio - Daniel Rodriguez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide