Match Info

HEAVYWEIGHT - MEN: UFC (WORLD)

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1, Premier Sport 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Hungary	Sport 1
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Sergey Pavlovich		Tom Aspinall

	1	2
	1.91	1.91
	1.87	1.95
	1.92	1.92
	1.96	1.93
	1.91	1.91
	1.75	2.05
	1.9	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (1.94)	1.94 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sergey Pavlovich
50.7%

Tom Aspinall
49.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.8%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sergey Pavlovich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Tom Aspinall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	0%	23.5%

Sergey Pavlovich - Tom Aspinall Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Pavlovich will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Aspinall will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pavlovich: 56.3% – 96.7%.

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Preview

Interim title fight.

The chances to win of two fighters are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Pavlovich won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sergey Pavlovich
MMA
22.04.23	Sergey Pavlovich - Curtis Blaydes	Pavlovich S. - 1st Round TKO ✺
03.12.22	Tai Tuivasa - Sergey Pavlovich	Pavlovich S. - 1st Round TKO ✺
30.07.22	Derrick Lewis - Sergey Pavlovich	Pavlovich S. - 1st Round TKO ✺
19.03.22	Shamil Abdurahimov - Sergey Pavlovich	Pavlovich S. - 1st Round TKO ✺
04.09.21	Tom Aspinall - Sergey Pavlovich	Canceled ✺
- Tom Aspinall
MMA
22.07.23	Tom Aspinall - Marcin Tybura	Aspinall T. - 1st Round KO ✺
23.07.22	Curtis Blaydes - Tom Aspinall	Blaydes C. - 1st Round TKO ✺
19.03.22	Alexander Volkov - Tom Aspinall	Aspinall T. - 1st Round TKO ✺
04.09.21	Tom Aspinall - Sergey Pavlovich	Canceled ✺
04.09.21	Tom Aspinall - Sergey Spivak	Aspinall T. - 1st Round TKO ✺

Latest Head to Head

MMA
04.09.21	Tom Aspinall - Sergey Pavlovich	Canceled

Sergey Pavlovich - Tom Aspinall: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide