Match Info

WELTERWEIGHT - MEN: UFC (WORLD)

Date: 4 December 2022, Sunday

Location: Amway Center (Orlando)


	Stephen Thompson		Kevin Holland

	1	2
	2.5	1.57
	2.5	1.54
	2.55	1.52
	2.41	1.51
	2.53	1.56
	2.6	1.5
	2.5	1.52
	2.34	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.1)	1.54 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Network on TV: ESPN TEST

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Current Win Probability

Stephen Thompson
38.2%

Kevin Holland
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stephen Thompson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stephen Thompson's form might have worsened.

Kevin Holland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kevin Holland's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	0%	84.6%

Stephen Thompson - Kevin Holland Predictions

Users Predictions: Kevin Holland will win (22 of 26 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.75% – 98.49%.

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Preview

Holland will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the fighters did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stephen Thompson
MMA
18.12.21	Stephen Thompson - Belal Muhammad	Muhammad B. win ✺
10.07.21	Gilbert Burns - Stephen Thompson	Burns G. win ✺
19.12.20	Stephen Thompson - Geoff Neal	Thompson S. win Thompson S. - Round 5 / 5:00 Points ✺
02.11.19	Stephen Thompson - Vicente Luque	Thompson S. win Thompson S. - Round 3 Points ✺
23.03.19	Stephen Thompson - Anthony Pettis	Pettis A. win Pettis A. - Round 2 / 4:55 Knockout (Punches) ✺
- Kevin Holland
MMA
10.09.22	Khamzat Chimaev - Kevin Holland	Chimaev K. - 1st Round TKO ✺
10.09.22	Kevin Holland - Daniel Rodriguez	Canceled ✺
18.06.22	Tim Means - Kevin Holland	Holland K. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
05.03.22	Kevin Holland - Alex Oliveira	Holland K. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
13.11.21	Kevin Holland - Kyle Daukaus	Canceled ✺

Stephen Thompson - Kevin Holland: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide