Match Info

LIGHTWEIGHT - MEN: UFC

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Climate Pledge Arena (Seattle, WA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	See
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 6, Voyo
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 1


	Terrance McKinney		Kyle Nelson

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Terrance McKinney
61%

Kyle Nelson
39%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.4%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Terrance McKinney has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Kyle Nelson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. McKinney will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

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McKinney might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the fighters have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Terrance McKinney
MMA
06.12.25	Terrance McKinney - Chris Duncan	Duncan C. - 1st Round TKO ✺
28.06.25	Terrance McKinney - Viacheslav Borshchev	McKinney T. - 1st Round TKO ✺
01.02.25	Terrance McKinney - Damir Hadzovic	McKinney T. - 1st Round TKO ✺
11.05.24	Terrance McKinney - Esteban Ribovics	Ribovics E. - 1st Round KO ✺
14.10.23	Terrance McKinney - Chris Duncan	Canceled ✺
- Kyle Nelson
MMA
18.10.25	Kyle Nelson - Matt Frevola	Nelson K. win ✺
07.09.24	Steve Garcia - Kyle Nelson	Garcia S. - 1st Round TKO ✺
30.03.24	Bill Algeo - Kyle Nelson	Nelson K. - 1st Round TKO ✺
16.09.23	Fernando Padilla - Kyle Nelson	Nelson K. win ✺
10.06.23	Kyle Nelson - Blake Bilder	Nelson K. win ✺

Terrance McKinney - Kyle Nelson: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide