Match Info

FLYWEIGHT - MEN: UFC

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: RAC Arena (Perth)

Where to Watch on TV:


	Tim Elliott		Steve Erceg

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Tim Elliott
37.1%

Steve Erceg
62.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.9%

78.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tim Elliott has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tim Elliott's performance.

Steve Erceg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Steve Erceg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Elliott will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Erceg will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

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Erceg will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the fighters have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tim Elliott
MMA
16.08.25	Tim Elliott - Kai Asakura	Elliott T. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
18.05.24	Tim Elliott - Tatsuro Taira	Canceled ✺
09.12.23	Tim Elliott - Su Mudaerji	Elliott T. - 1st Round TKO ✺
21.10.23	Tim Elliott - Muhammad Mokaev	Mokaev M. - 3rd Round TKO ✺
03.06.23	Tim Elliott - Victor Altamirano	Elliott T. win ✺
- Steve Erceg
MMA
09.08.25	Steve Erceg - Ode Osbourne	Erceg S. win ✺
09.08.25	Steve Erceg - Hyun Sung Park	Canceled ✺
29.03.25	Brandon Moreno - Steve Erceg	Moreno B. win ✺
17.08.24	Kai Kara-France - Steve Erceg	Kara-France K. - 1st Round TKO ✺
05.05.24	Alexandre Pantoja - Steve Erceg	Pantoja A. win ✺

Tim Elliott - Steve Erceg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide