Match Info

HEAVYWEIGHT - MEN: UFC (World)

Date: 27 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Co-op Live (Manchester)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	RMC Sport 1
Hungary	Sport 1
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV1
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 1


	Tom Aspinall		Curtis Blaydes

	1	2
	1.25	4
	1.24	4.15
	1.18	5.1
	1.28	3.91
	1.26	3.67	Watch
	1.29	3.6
	1.26	3.82
	1.25	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↑ (1.25)	3.98 ↓ (3.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tom Aspinall
76.1%

Curtis Blaydes
23.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

76.2%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tom Aspinall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Curtis Blaydes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.2%	0%	36.8%

Tom Aspinall - Curtis Blaydes Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Aspinall will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Blaydes will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aspinall: 41.5% – 84.9%.

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Preview

Interim title fight.

In this match Aspinall is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Aspinall won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tom Aspinall
MMA
11.11.23	Sergey Pavlovich - Tom Aspinall	Aspinall T. - 1st Round KO ✺
22.07.23	Tom Aspinall - Marcin Tybura	Aspinall T. - 1st Round KO ✺
23.07.22	Curtis Blaydes - Tom Aspinall	Blaydes C. - 1st Round TKO ✺
19.03.22	Alexander Volkov - Tom Aspinall	Aspinall T. - 1st Round TKO ✺
04.09.21	Tom Aspinall - Sergey Pavlovich	Canceled ✺
- Curtis Blaydes
MMA
09.03.24	Curtis Blaydes - Jailton Almeida	Blaydes C. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
04.11.23	Curtis Blaydes - Jailton Almeida	Canceled ✺
22.04.23	Sergey Pavlovich - Curtis Blaydes	Pavlovich S. - 1st Round TKO ✺
23.07.22	Curtis Blaydes - Tom Aspinall	Blaydes C. - 1st Round TKO ✺
26.03.22	Curtis Blaydes - Chris Daukaus	Blaydes C. - 2nd Round TKO ✺

Latest Head to Head

MMA
23.07.22	Curtis Blaydes - Tom Aspinall	Blaydes C. - 1st Round TKO

Tom Aspinall - Curtis Blaydes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide