Match Info

LIGHTWEIGHT - MEN: UFC (WORLD)

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Hungary	Sport 1
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Tony Ferguson		Paddy Pimblett

	1	2
	3.75	1.29
	3.7	1.29
	3.4	1.34
	4	1.27
	3.5	1.3
	3.6	1.28
	3.53	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (3.51)	1.3 ↓ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tony Ferguson
26.3%

Paddy Pimblett
73.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

72.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tony Ferguson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Paddy Pimblett has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.5%	0%	89.5%

Tony Ferguson - Paddy Pimblett Predictions

Users Predictions: Paddy Pimblett will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.

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Preview

In this match Pimblett is a favorite.

Recently, the fighters did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tony Ferguson MMA
MMA
29.07.23	Tony Ferguson - Bobby Green	Green B. - 3rd Round TS ✺
11.09.22	Nate Diaz - Tony Ferguson	Diaz N. - 4th Round TKO ✺
10.09.22	Jingliang Li - Tony Ferguson	Canceled ✺
07.05.22	Michael Chandler - Tony Ferguson	Chandler M. - 2nd Round KO ✺
15.05.21	Tony Ferguson - Beneil Dariush	Dariush B. win ✺
- Paddy Pimblett
MMA
10.12.22	Paddy Pimblett - Jared Gordon	Pimblett P. win ✺
23.07.22	Paddy Pimblett - Jordan Leavitt	Pimblett P. - 2nd Round TKO ✺
19.03.22	Paddy Pimblett - Rodrigo Vargas	Pimblett P. - 1st Round TKO ✺
04.09.21	Luigi Vendramini - Paddy Pimblett	Pimblett P. - 1st Round KO ✺
20.03.20	Paddy Pimblett - Decky Dalton	Pimblett P. win Pimblett P. - Round 1 / 2:51 Technical Knockout (Punches) ✺

Tony Ferguson - Paddy Pimblett: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide