Match Info

NRL Women - Round 6

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Go Media Stadium (Auckland) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	17:15	9Gem, Fox Sports 505, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL TV
Canada	03:15	fubo Sports Network


	New Zealand Warriors		Newcastle Knights

	1	X	2
	1.62	18	2.5
	1.56	20.07	2.59	Watch
	1.64	27	2.33
	1.57	15	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.53)	20.02 ↓ (21.5)	2.48 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 38.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New Zealand Warriors
58%

Draw
4.6%

Newcastle Knights
37.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.1%

4.3%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

4.5%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New Zealand Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Newcastle Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Zealand Warriors than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Knights than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

New Zealand Warriors - Newcastle Knights Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:16

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (10 - 12)
2nd Half (12 - 2)

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Newcastle has had a series of away games.

New Zealand could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, New Zealand won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:36.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New Zealand Warriors Women
Australian NRL Women
01.08.26	New Zealand Warriors - Gold Coast Titans	16:18 ✺
25.07.26	Parramatta Eels - New Zealand Warriors	12:14 ✺
18.07.26	New Zealand Warriors - North Queensland Cowboys	42:4 ✺
11.07.26	Canberra Raiders - New Zealand Warriors	42:16 ✺
04.07.26	New Zealand Warriors - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs	32:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWWLW
- Newcastle Knights Women
Australian NRL Women
02.08.26	Parramatta Eels - Newcastle Knights	12:32 ✺
25.07.26	Brisbane Broncos - Newcastle Knights	30:12 ✺
19.07.26	Newcastle Knights - St. George Illawarra Dragons	38:0 ✺
11.07.26	Sydney Roosters - Newcastle Knights	12:10 ✺
02.07.26	Cronulla Sharks - Newcastle Knights	4:18 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NRL Women
20.07.25	Newcastle Knights - New Zealand Warriors	36:20

New Zealand Warriors - Newcastle Knights: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide