Match Info
Rugby Championship - Round 4Date: 13 September 2025, SaturdayLocation: Sydney Football Stadium (Sydney)Referee: Ridley C. (Eng)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Africa | SuperSport Rugby |
Asia | Premier Sports Rugby Asia |
Brazil | ESPN 2 |
Canada | TSN+ |
France | CANAL+ Sport |
Nigeria | SuperSport Rugby |
Peru | Movistar Deportes |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
South-africa | SuperSport Rugby |
United-kingdom | Sky Sports Main Event |
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 |
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Australia |
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Argentina |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.55 |
21 |
2.55 |
|
 |
1.57 |
26 |
2.5 |
|
 |
1.55 |
22 |
2.5 |
|
 |
2.59 |
24.30 |
1.53 |
Watch |
 |
1.59 |
19 |
2.41 |
|
 |
1.55 |
20 |
2.5 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.73 ↑ (1.51) |
22.05 ↓ (30) |
2.33 ↓ (2.75) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 55.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
- The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Australia 54.9% | Draw 4.3% | Argentina 40.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Australia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Australia's form might have worsened.Argentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Argentina's recent form is better than expected.Australia - Argentina Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Australia will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Argentina will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Argentina (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:26 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1. Slipper J.
| 1. Vivas M.
|
2. Pollard B.
| 2. Montoya J. (C)
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3. Tupou T.
| 3. Sclavi J.
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4. Williams J.
| 4. Petti G.
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5. Hooper T.
| 5. Rubiolo P.
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6. Valetini R.
| 6. Gonzalez J.
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7. Mcreight F.
| 7. Kremer M.
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8. Wilson H. (C)
| 8. Oviedo J.
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9. White N.
| 9. Garcia G.
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10. Edmed T.
| 10. Carreras S.
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11. Toole C.
| 11. Carreras M.
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12. Paisami H.
| 12. Chocobares S.
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13. Sua'ali'i J.
| 13. Cinti L.
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14. Jorgensen M.
| 14. Isgro R.
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15. Kellaway A.
| 15. Mallia J.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
16. Nasser J.
| 16. Ruiz I.
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17. Bell A.
| 17. Wenger B.
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18. Nonggorr Z.
| 18. Coria Marchetti F.
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19. Salakaia-Loto L.
| 19. Molina F.
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20. Tizzano C.
| 20. Matera P.
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21. McDermott T.
| 21. Moyano A.
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22. O'Connor J.
| 22. Piccardo J.
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23. Daugunu F.
| 23. Mendy I.
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| Coaches |
|---|
. Schmidt J.
| . Contepomi F.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (7 - 19)
- 4', Carreras S. (Penalty Goal),
- 5', Sua'ali'i J. (Try),
- 6', Edmed T. (Conversion Goal),
- 8', Montoya J. (Try),
- 9', Carreras S. (Conversion Goal),
- 14', Carreras S. (Penalty Goal),
- 18', Jorgensen M. 🟨,
- 26', Carreras S. (Penalty Goal),
- 37', Carreras S. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (19 - 9)
- 41', Slipper J. ↓, Bell A. ↑,
- 41', Tupou T. ↓, Nonggorr Z. ↑,
- 41', White N. ↓, McDermott T. ↑,
- 44', Carreras S. (Penalty Goal),
- 51', Petti G. ↓, Molina F. ↑,
- 51', Gonzalez J. ↓, Matera P. ↑,
- 51', Garcia G. ↓, Moyano A. ↑,
- 51', Sclavi J. ↓, Coria Marchetti F. ↑,
- 53', Carreras S. (Penalty Goal),
- 53', Pollard B. ↓, Nasser J. ↑,
- 53', Hooper T. ↓, Salakaia-Loto L. ↑,
- 55', Edmed T. ↓, O'Connor J. ↑,
- 60', Toole C. ↓, Daugunu F. ↑,
- 60', Vivas M. ↓, Wenger B. ↑,
- 60', Isgro R. ↓, Mendy I. ↑,
- 64', Carreras S. (Penalty Goal),
- 64', Williams J. ↓, Tizzano C. ↑,
- 66', Carreras S. 🟨,
- 67', Kellaway A. (Try),
- 67', O'Connor J. (Conversion Goal),
- 68', Daugunu F. (Try),
- 72', Montoya J. ↓, Ruiz I. ↑,
- 72', Chocobares S. ↓, Piccardo J. ↑,
- 80', Daugunu F. (Try),
- 80+1', O'Connor J. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 2 and 3).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Australia won 2.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky. Australia could have a small edge in this match.We predict that Australia will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Australia won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 565:467. (average 28.3:23.4).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Rugby Championship | | | 06.09.25 | Australia - Argentina | 28:24 | | 07.09.24 | Argentina - Australia | 67:27 | | 31.08.24 | Argentina - Australia | 19:20 | | 15.07.23 | Australia - Argentina | 31:34 | | 13.08.22 | Argentina - Australia | 48:17 | | 06.08.22 | Argentina - Australia | 26:41 | | 02.10.21 | Argentina - Australia | 17:32 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;