Match Info

Challenge Cup - Round 1

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
France	14:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6
United Kingdom	13:00	FloSports app
International	12:00	EPCR Rugby TV


	Aviron Bayonnais		Cheetahs

	1	X	2
	1.14	34	5.5
	1.14	30	5.6
	1.13	28	5.3
	1.14	30	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 ↑ (1.12)	30.5 ↑ (28.67)	5.55 ↓ (5.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-15)

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Aviron Bayonnais
80.5%

Draw
3%

Cheetahs
16.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

81.3%

3.2%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aviron Bayonnais has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Cheetahs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Aviron Bayonnais - Cheetahs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 37:22

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Calles I.	1. Manyama M.
2. Bosch F.	2. van der Westhuizen L.
3. Tagi L.	3. Dos Reis F.
4. van Leeuwen M.	4. Wegner C.
5. Alainuuese K.	5. Sekekete V.
6. Dealle Facquez M.	6. Volschenk N. (C)
7. Heguy B.	7. Miller S.
8. Habel Kueffner G. (C)	8. Els C.
9. Tilloles B.	9. de Klerk F.
10. du Preez R.	10. Swanepoel T. H.
11. Tutuvuli V.	11. Nkabinde P.
12. Mori F.	12. du Plessis Z.
13. Martocq G.	13. Coetzee C.
14. Tambwe M.	14. Annies M.
15. Orabe Y.	15. Immelman H.
Substitutes
16. Martin L.	16. Schoeman J.
17. Cormenier S.	17. Nkosi T.
18. Macharashvili L.	18. Pitout B.
19. Paulos L.	19. Davis A.
20. Leclerq H.	20. Ningiza S.
21. Jantjies H.	21. Visser E.
22. Rasal B.	22. Jasper C.
23. Spring T.	23. van Vuren M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (22 - 13)
4', Swanepoel T. H. (Penalty Goal),
9', Annies M. (Try),
10', Swanepoel T. H. (Conversion Goal),
15', Bosch F. (Try),
15', du Preez R. (Missed Conversion),
20', Mori F. (Try),
21', du Preez R. (Conversion Goal),
26', Swanepoel T. H. (Penalty Goal),
28', Orabe Y. (Try),
28', du Preez R. (Missed Conversion),
38', Bosch F. (Try),
38', du Preez R. (Missed Conversion),
2nd Half (7 - 14)
44', Coetzee C. (Try),
45', Swanepoel T. H. (Conversion Goal),
51', van der Westhuizen L. (Try),
52', Swanepoel T. H. (Conversion Goal),
57', Swanepoel T. H. (Missed Penalty),
59', Swanepoel T. H. (Missed Penalty),
66', Jantjies H. (Try),
67', du Preez R. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

In recent outings, Bayonne has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Cheetahs could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, Bayonne enters as the overwhelming favorite.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aviron Bayonnais Rudby
French Top 14
11.10.26	Toulouse - Aviron Bayonnais	45:34 ✺
03.10.26	Aviron Bayonnais - Stade Français	35:32 ✺
26.09.26	Racing Métro - Aviron Bayonnais	17:20 ✺
19.09.26	Aviron Bayonnais - Clermont	46:24 ✺
12.09.26	Section Paloise - Aviron Bayonnais	70:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWWWL
- Cheetahs Rugby
Currie Cup
06.09.26	Cheetahs - Pumas	24:27 ✺
29.08.26	Pumas - Cheetahs	52:26 ✺
23.08.26	Cheetahs - Boland Cavaliers	33:24 ✺
16.08.26	Blue Bulls - Cheetahs	52:59 ✺
31.07.26	Griquas - Cheetahs	24:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aviron Bayonnais Rudby
French Top 14
31.10.26	Bordeaux Bègles - Aviron Bayonnais	✺

Aviron Bayonnais - Cheetahs