Match Info

ENGLAND: Premiership Rugby Cup

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Ashton Gate Stadium (Bristol)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Bristol Rugby		Bedford Blues

	1	X	2
	1.01	41	17
	1.02	40	13
	1.01	57.7	17.48
	1.01	50	46
	1.02	40	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.01 (1.01)	45.74 ↓ (57.7)	21.3 ↑ (17.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 72.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-42)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bristol Rugby
93.5%

Draw
2.1%

Bedford Blues
4.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

93%

1.6%

5.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol Rugby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Bedford Blues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Bristol Rugby - Bedford Blues Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Bristol will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 57:15

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
. Bailey D.	. Adamson D.
. Chawatama L.	. Benson A.
. Elizalde B.	. Conway J.
. Fricker T.	. Frost L.
. Grondona B.	. Garside J.
. Heenan J.	. Glister W.
. Jenkins J.	. Herman T.
. Jenkins K.	. Howard J.
. Marmion K.	. Kerry S.
. Owen J.	. Lennon J.
. Pearce P.	. Maisey W.
. Ravouvou K.	. Nonleh B.
. Thacker H.	. Smith G.
. Thomas Y.	. Titherington L.
. Worsley S.	. Worley M.
Substitutes
. Bates J.	. Arthur J.
. Capon W.	. Day A.
. Doughty T.	. Fish J.
. Edwards S.	. Heffernan O.
. Halliwell J.	. Jack J.
. Rowson H.	. James L.
. Trevett L.	. Matavesi J.
. Tull A.	. Ward R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (43 - 14)
1', Jenkins J. (Try),
2', Worsley S. (Conversion Goal),
5', Marmion K. (Try),
6', Worsley S. (Conversion Goal),
11', Fricker T. (Try),
12', Worsley S. (Conversion Goal),
18', Thacker H. (Try),
21', Bates J. (Try),
25', Elizalde B. (Try),
29', Thomas Y. (Try),
30', Worsley S. (Conversion Goal),
34', Herman T. (Try),
35', Maisey W. (Conversion Goal),
39', Maisey W. (Try),
39', Maisey W. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (24 - 5)
53', Heenan J. (Try),
60', Ravouvou K. (Try),
60', Elizalde B. (Conversion Goal),
65', Ravouvou K. (Try),
66', Elizalde B. (Conversion Goal),
70', Thacker H. (Try),
72', Garside J. (Try),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bristol won 4.

Recent matches Bristol is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bedford Blues could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bristol is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Bristol won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 258:153 (average 36.9:21.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Bristol won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 124:75 (average 31:18.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bristol Rugby
English Premiership Rugby
25.10.24	Bristol Rugby - Northampton Saints	31:23 ✺
19.10.24	Bristol Rugby - Saracens	35:37 ✺
12.10.24	Exeter Chiefs - Bristol Rugby	35:40 ✺
05.10.24	Bath - Bristol Rugby	26:36 ✺
27.09.24	Bristol Rugby - Gloucester	41:44 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLWWL
- Bedford Blues
English Championship Rugby
25.05.24	Ealing Trailfinders - Bedford Blues	59:12 ✺
11.05.24	London Scottish - Bedford Blues	31:34 ✺
24.02.24	Hartpury University - Bedford Blues	41:35 ✺
10.02.24	Caldy - Bedford Blues	22:26 ✺
26.01.24	Bedford Blues - London Scottish	32:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Championship Rugby
28.01.18	Bristol Rugby - Bedford Blues	18:13
23.09.17	Bedford Blues - Bristol Rugby	38:61
08.05.16	Bristol Rugby - Bedford Blues	45:19
01.05.16	Bedford Blues - Bristol Rugby	16:45
06.09.15	Bristol Rugby - Bedford Blues	23:29
29.03.15	Bristol Rugby - Bedford Blues	38:14
26.12.14	Bedford Blues - Bristol Rugby	24:28

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