The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bristol Rugby 34.1%
Draw 4.4%
Northampton Saints 61.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36%
4.7%
59.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bristol Rugby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Northampton Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
Bristol Rugby - Northampton Saints Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:39
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Woolmore J.
1. Iyogun E.
2. Oghre G.
2. Langdon C.
3. Kloska G.
3. Kundiona C.
4. Rubiolo P.
4. Coles A.
5. Batley J.
5. Prowse E.
6. Luatua S.
6. Kemeny J.
7. Grondona B.
7. Taylor J.
8. Harding F. (C)
8. Pollock H.
9. Randall H.
9. McParland A.
10. MacGinty A.
10. Smith F.
11. Ibitoye G.
11. Hendy G.
12. Williams J.
12. Dingwall F. (C)
13. Janse van Rensburg B.
13. Hutchinson R.
14. Rees-Zammit L.
14. Sleightholme O.
15. Jordan T.
15. Freeman T.
Substitutes
16. Gwilliam T.
16. Smith R.
17. Chawatama L.
17. Fischetti D.
18. Halliwell J.
18. Neculai I.
19. Taylor G.
19. Lockett T.
20. Owen J.
20. Chick C.
21. Marmion K.
21. Mitchell A.
22. Pepper M.
22. Belleau A.
23. Ivanishvili L.
23. Pater J.
Coaches
. Lam P.
. Dowson P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (15 - 14)
6', Oghre G. (Try),
7', Williams J. (Missed Conversion),
9', Hendy G. (Try),
10', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
15', Williams J. (Penalty Goal),
35', Rees-Zammit L. (Try),
36', Williams J. (Conversion Goal),
40', Janse van Rensburg B. ↓, Pepper M. ↑,
40+1', Hendy G. (Try),
40+2', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (26 - 12)
43', Jordan T. (Try),
44', Williams J. (Conversion Goal),
50', Iyogun E. ↓, Fischetti D. ↑,
50', Kundiona C. ↓, Smith R. ↑,
50', Taylor J. ↓, Chick C. ↑,
51', Luatua S. ↓, Owen J. ↑,
51', Langdon C. ↓, Neculai I. ↑,
53', Randall H. (Try),
54', Williams J. (Conversion Goal),
54', McParland A. ↓, Mitchell A. ↑,
54', Sleightholme O. ↓, Pater J. ↑,
57', Woolmore J. ↓, Chawatama L. ↑,
57', Kloska G. ↓, Halliwell J. ↑,
58', Williams J. (Missed Penalty),
60', Rees-Zammit L. (Try),
61', Williams J. (Missed Conversion),
62', Oghre G. ↓, Gwilliam T. ↑,
63', Grondona B. ↓, Ivanishvili L. ↑,
63', Mitchell A. (Try),
63', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
67', Kemeny J. (Try),
70', Smith F. (Missed Conversion),
72', Owen J. ↓, Taylor G. ↑,
74', Hendy G. ↓, Belleau A. ↑,
74', Randall H. ↓, Marmion K. ↑,
76', Neculai I. 🟨,
77', Coles A. ↓, Lockett T. ↑,
77', Pollock H. ↓, Kundiona C. ↑,
80+1', (Penalty Try),
80+3', Freeman T. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol won 3.
Bristol may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Northampton Saints carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Bristol has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 637:637 (averaging 31.9:31.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Bristol against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 363:242 goals (averaging 36.3:24.2 per game).
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Woolmore J. 
Kundiona C. 
Rubiolo P. 
Luatua S. 
Kemeny J. 
MacGinty A. 
Hutchinson R. 
Rees-Zammit L. 
Fischetti D. 
Marmion K. 
Belleau A. 
Ivanishvili L. 
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