Match Info

EUROPE: CHALLENGE CUP - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 31 March 2023, Friday

Location: Ashton Gate Stadium (Bristol)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports
United-kingdom	Viaplay


	Bristol Rugby		Clermont

	1	X	2
	1.5	21	2.7
	1.53	23	2.55
	1.44	21	2.8
	1.5	25	2.59
	1.47	22	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.56)	22.4 ↑ (22)	2.68 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 48.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bristol Rugby
61.6%

Draw
4.1%

Clermont
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

4.2%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

4.2%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol Rugby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rugby than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Bristol Rugby - Clermont Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Bristol will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Clermont will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:21

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Preview

Bristol is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Clermont is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bristol will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Bristol to win the game is with odds 1.52.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bristol won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 38-51.

Including matches at home between the teams Bristol won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 38-51.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bristol Rugby
English Premiership Rugby
25.03.23	Leicester Tigers - Bristol Rugby	46:24 ✺
12.03.23	Bristol Rugby - Harlequins	51:26 ✺
03.03.23	Bristol Rugby - Northampton Saints	62:8 ✺
24.02.23	Bath - Bristol Rugby	13:15 ✺
17.02.23	Bristol Rugby - Newcastle Red Bulls	30:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWWW
- ASM Clermont Auvergne
French Top 14
25.03.23	Clermont - Brive	38:10 ✺
04.03.23	Montpellier - Clermont	34:6 ✺
26.02.23	Clermont - Toulon	36:21 ✺
19.02.23	Bordeaux Bègles - Clermont	18:9 ✺
04.02.23	Clermont - Castres	41:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

European Rugby Champions Cup
12.12.20	Bristol Rugby - Clermont	38:51

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