Match Info

FRANCE: TOP 14 - ROUND 17

Date: 4 February 2023, Saturday


	Brive		Perpignan

	1	X	2
	1.37	25	3.1
	1.31	23	3.4
	1.33	21	3.4
	1.41	24	2.98	Watch
	1.38	23	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.35)	23.2 ↑ (22.5)	3.2 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 46.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Brive
67.4%

Draw
3.9%

Perpignan
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68%

4.1%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

4.1%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Perpignan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brive than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perpignan than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Brive - Perpignan Predictions

Users Predictions: Brive will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:20

#ad

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 in the zone Pro D2 (Relegation) and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Brive is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Perpignan is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Perpignan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Brive is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Brive to win the game is with odds 1.34.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brive won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 100-66.

Including matches at home between the teams Brive won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 67-21.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Brive
French Top 14
28.01.23	Aviron Bayonnais - Brive	37:9 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
21.01.23	Brive - Cardiff Rugby	37:24 ✺
14.01.23	Connacht - Brive	61:5 ✺
French Top 14
07.01.23	Brive - Toulon	26:17 ✺
31.12.22	Lyon - Brive	27:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30 LWLWW
- USA Perpignan
French Top 14
28.01.23	Perpignan - Stade Français	31:24 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
20.01.23	Bristol Rugby - Perpignan	33:19 ✺
14.01.23	Perpignan - Glasgow Warriors	26:40 ✺
French Top 14
07.01.23	Clermont - Perpignan	31:20 ✺
31.12.22	Perpignan - La Rochelle	10:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Top 14
10.09.22	Perpignan - Brive	6:17
30.04.22	Perpignan - Brive	27:10
04.09.21	Brive - Perpignan	36:15
22.02.14	Perpignan - Brive	12:6
21.09.13	Brive - Perpignan	31:6
28.01.12	Brive - Perpignan	N/A

Upcoming Matches