Match Info

FRANCE: TOP 14 - ROUND 15

Date: 7 January 2023, Saturday


	Brive		Toulon

	1	X	2
	2.12	21	1.75
	2.11	21	1.79
	2.1	19	1.8
	2.07	23	1.79
	2.09	21	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.25)	21 ↑ (20)	1.78 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 43.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brive
43.9%

Draw
4.4%

Toulon
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

4.4%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

4.3%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brive has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Toulon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brive than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brive that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulon than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toulon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Brive - Toulon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:23

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Pro D2 (Relegation) and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brive won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Brive won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 306-487.

Including matches at home between the teams Brive won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 174-156.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Brive
French Top 14
31.12.22	Lyon - Brive	27:30 ✺
23.12.22	Brive - Clermont	20:16 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
16.12.22	Brive - Connacht	24:31 ✺
10.12.22	Cardiff Rugby - Brive	41:0 ✺
French Top 14
03.12.22	Bordeaux Bègles - Brive	33:13 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WWLLL
- RC Toulonnais
French Top 14
31.12.22	Aviron Bayonnais - Toulon	23:18 ✺
22.12.22	Toulon - Lyon	21:3 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
17.12.22	Toulon - Bath	29:7 ✺
10.12.22	Zebre - Toulon	21:24 ✺
French Top 14
04.12.22	Toulon - Racing Métro	14:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Top 14
08.10.22	Toulon - Brive	47:0
26.02.22	Brive - Toulon	17:10
09.10.21	Toulon - Brive	13:9
30.01.21	Brive - Toulon	25:23
06.11.20	Toulon - Brive	35:19
15.02.20	Toulon - Brive	34:17
28.09.19	Brive - Toulon	39:17

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