Match Info

Pro D2 - Round 11

Date: 14 November 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	CANAL+ Sport


	Béziers		Brive

	1	X	2
	1.95	19	1.95
	1.82	24	2.01
	2.02	21	1.86
	2.05	20	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.4)	21 ↓ (23.5)	1.92 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 46.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Béziers
47.2%

Draw
4.4%

Brive
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

3.9%

57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

4.1%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Béziers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Béziers's performance.

Brive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brive might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Béziers than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Béziers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brive than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brive could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Béziers - Brive Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:24

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (12 - 10)
2nd Half (13 - 7)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Béziers won 3.

Recent form of Béziers has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Brive has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Béziers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Béziers won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 177:195. (average 22.1:24.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Béziers won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 153:90. (average 38.3:22.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Béziers
French Pro D2
06.11.25	FC Grenoble - Béziers	23:8 ✺
31.10.25	Béziers - Colomiers	22:43 ✺
24.10.25	US Dax - Béziers	40:5 ✺
17.10.25	Béziers - Valence Romans Drôme	29:37 ✺
03.10.25	Béziers - Carcassonne	31:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLW
- CA Brive
French Pro D2
07.11.25	Brive - Mont-De-Marsan	68:10 ✺
31.10.25	Provence Rugby - Brive	25:3 ✺
24.10.25	Brive - SA XV Charente	16:25 ✺
17.10.25	Agen - Brive	41:10 ✺
03.10.25	Brive - Oyonnax Rugby	33:18 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
16.05.25	Béziers - Brive	57:24
06.12.24	Brive - Béziers	15:10
24.05.24	Béziers - Brive	33:31
29.02.24	Béziers - Brive	34:15
24.08.23	Brive - Béziers	35:5
25.01.19	Béziers - Brive	29:20
09.09.18	Brive - Béziers	27:6

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