Match Info
World Rugby Nations Cup - Round 1Date: 4 July 2026, SaturdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
Australia | Stan Sport |
Canada | TSN 1, TSN+ |
New-zealand | Sky Sport 6 |
International | RugbyPass TV |
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 |
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 |
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Canada |
|
Spain |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.79 |
28 |
1.45 |
|
 |
3 |
25 |
1.4 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.9 ↓ (3.22) |
26.5 ↑ (23) |
1.43 ↑ (1.37) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 57.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)
- The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Canada 31.8% | Draw 3.5% | Spain 64.7% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Canada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Spain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Canada - Spain Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:33 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1. Martinez C.
| 1. Futeu T.
|
2. Quattrin A.
| 2. Ovejero S.
|
3. Keith C.
| 3. Zabala J.
|
4. Von Dadelszen P.
| 4. Foulds M.
|
5. Kelly I.
| 5. Suarez A.
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6. Flesch M.
| 6. Pineiro I.
|
7. Rumball L.
| 7. Boronat V.
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8. Ardron T.
| 8. Imaz E.
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9. Higgins J.
| 9. Bay E.
|
10. Coats C.
| 10. Lopez Bontempo G.
|
11. Flesch N.
| 11. Carmona A.
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12. McIndoe J.
| 12. Gimeno A.
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13. Jones S.
| 13. Cian M.
|
14. Tremblay K.
| 14. Minguillon G.
|
15. Nelson P.
| 15. Bell J.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
16. Dewy
| 16. Garcia A.
|
17. Miller S.
| 17. Tabarot L.
|
18. Steeves K.
| 18. Pirlet H.
|
19. Doyle D.
| 19. Urraza I.
|
20. Parry S.
| 20. Ariceta M.
|
21. Gallagher B.
| 21. Aurrekoetea K.
|
22. Ince J.
| 22. Mateu I.
|
23. McMullin T.
| 23. Manteca J.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (21 - 21)
- 3', Carmona A. (Try),
- 4', Lopez Bontempo G. (Conversion Goal),
- 9', Flesch M. (Try),
- 10', Nelson P. (Conversion Goal),
- 12', Suarez A. (Try),
- 13', Lopez Bontempo G. (Conversion Goal),
- 17', Higgins J. (Try),
- 17', Nelson P. (Conversion Goal),
- 22', Bay E. (Try),
- 23', Lopez Bontempo G. (Conversion Goal),
- 40+1', Flesch M. (Try),
- 40+2', Nelson P. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (21 - 21)
- 42', Bay E. (Try),
- 43', Lopez Bontempo G. (Conversion Goal),
- 46', Ardron T. (Try),
- 47', Nelson P. (Conversion Goal),
- 50', Ovejero S. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
- 54', Nelson P. ↓, McMullin T. ↑,
- 55', Boronat V. ↓, Ariceta M. ↑,
- 56', Minguillon G. ↓, Manteca J. ↑,
- 56', Zabala J. ↓, Pirlet H. ↑,
- 57', Quattrin A. (Try),
- 58', Coats C. (Conversion Goal),
- 60', Suarez A. ↓, Urraza I. ↑,
- 61', Imaz E. 🟨,
- 63', Gimeno A. ↓, Mateu I. ↑,
- 64', Martinez C. ↓, Miller S. ↑,
- 64', Keith C. ↓, Steeves K. ↑,
- 67', Higgins J. ↓, Gallagher B. ↑,
- 67', Futeu T. ↓, Tabarot L. ↑,
- 67', Bay E. ↓, Aurrekoetea K. ↑,
- 69', Tabarot L. (Try),
- 70', Lopez Bontempo G. (Conversion Goal),
- 75', Quattrin A. ↓, Dewy ↑,
- 78', Kelly I. ↓, Parry S. ↑,
- 78', Aurrekoetea K. (Try),
- 79', Lopez Bontempo G. (Conversion Goal),
- 80+2', Tremblay K. (Try),
- 80+4', McMullin T. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
In this match, Spain is the team to beat.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Canada won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 94:108. (average 31.3:36).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;