Match Info
Pacific Nations Cup - Semi-finalsDate: 12 September 2026, SaturdayLocation: Hanazono Rugby Stadium (Higashiosaka)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Africa | SuperSport Grandstand |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
Mexico | Disney+ |
New-zealand | Sky Sport Select |
Slovakia | Nova Sport 1 |
South-africa | SuperSport Grandstand |
World | RugbyPass TV |
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Fiji |
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Canada |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1 |
40 |
15 |
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 |
1 |
50 |
50 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1 (1) |
45 ↑ (43) |
32.5 ↑ (13.5) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 80.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)
- The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Fiji 95% | Draw 2.1% | Canada 2.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fiji has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Canada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Fiji - Canada Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 45:35 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (26 - 17)
- 1', Salawa K. (Try),
- 2', Armstrong-Ravula I. (Conversion Goal),
- 5', Lomani F. (Try),
- 6', Armstrong-Ravula I. (Conversion Goal),
- 8', Flesch M. (Try),
- 9', McMullin T. (Conversion Goal),
- 19', Armstrong-Ravula I. (Try),
- 27', McMullin T. (Penalty Goal),
- 32', Ravai P. (Try),
- 33', Armstrong-Ravula I. (Conversion Goal),
- 36', Parry S. (Try),
- 37', McMullin T. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (19 - 12)
- 46', Ikanivere T. (Try),
- 47', Armstrong-Ravula I. (Conversion Goal),
- 51', Murray M. (Try),
- 61', Murray M. (Try),
- 62', Armstrong-Ravula I. (Conversion Goal),
- 67', Tremblay K. (Try),
- 71', Flesch M. (Try),
- 72', McMullin T. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
Fiji may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Fiji is the obvious favorite.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Fiji won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 205:58. (average 51.3:14.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;