Match Info

Bunnings NPC - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Apollo Projects Stadium (Christchurch) 🌤️ ...


	Canterbury		Hawkes Bay

	1	X	2
	1.35	23	3.3
	1.09	32.95	7.28	Watch
	1.38	26	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.45)	27.32 ↑ (21)	4.56 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 52.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canterbury
75.4%

Draw
3.5%

Hawkes Bay
21.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.7%

4.4%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.9%

5.1%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canterbury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Canterbury's performance.

Hawkes Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hawkes Bay might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canterbury than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawkes Bay than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hawkes Bay could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Canterbury - Hawkes Bay Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Canterbury will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Canterbury (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:23

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (15 - 14)
2nd Half (28 - 5)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canterbury won 2.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Recently, Canterbury has had a series of home games.

In this match, Canterbury is considered a favorite.

We predict that Canterbury will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Canterbury won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 362:185. (average 36.2:18.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Canterbury won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 220:145. (average 36.7:24.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Canterbury
New Zealand NPC
11.10.25	Canterbury - Counties Manukau	23:15 OT ✺
04.10.25	Canterbury - Taranaki	34:14 ✺
27.09.25	Northland - Canterbury	19:19 ✺
20.09.25	Canterbury - Otago	36:38 ✺
13.09.25	Canterbury - Tasman	31:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWTLW
- Hawkes Bay
New Zealand NPC
11.10.25	Hawkes Bay - Taranaki	26:12 ✺
04.10.25	Manawatu - Hawkes Bay	10:38 ✺
25.09.25	Hawkes Bay - Auckland	45:28 ✺
19.09.25	Taranaki - Hawkes Bay	38:24 ✺
12.09.25	Bay of Plenty - Hawkes Bay	21:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NPC
22.08.25	Hawkes Bay - Canterbury	7:26
28.08.24	Canterbury - Hawkes Bay	21:27
03.09.22	Canterbury - Hawkes Bay	32:28
15.10.21	Canterbury - Hawkes Bay	26:45
26.09.20	Hawkes Bay - Canterbury	20:19
29.09.18	Canterbury - Hawkes Bay	49:24
01.09.17	Hawkes Bay - Canterbury	10:53

Canterbury - Hawkes Bay: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide