Match Info
Bunnings NPCDate: 4 October 2025, Saturday ๐ Finished Location: Central Energy Trust Arena (Palmerston North) ๐ค๏ธ ...Where to Watch on TV: | Country | Kick-Off | TV Channels |
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Argentina | 03:05 | Disney+ |
Australia | 16:05 | Stan Sport |
Brazil | 03:05 | Disney+ |
Chile | 03:05 | Disney+ |
Colombia | 01:05 | Disney+ |
Mexico | 00:05 | Disney+ |
Peru | 01:05 | Disney+ |
Uruguay | 03:05 | Disney+ |
Venezuela | 02:05 | Disney+ |
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Manawatu |
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Hawkes Bay |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
4.5 |
26 |
1.17 |
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 |
6 |
29 |
1.13 |
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 |
4.97 |
25.93 |
1.19 |
Watch |
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6 |
29 |
1.13 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.37 ↑ (4.8) |
27.48 ↑ (25) |
1.16 (1.16) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 60.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-16)
- The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Manawatu 17.1% | Draw 3.3% | Hawkes Bay 79.5% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Manawatu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Hawkes Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Manawatu - Hawkes Bay Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -12.5 - Hawkes Bay (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hawkes Bay (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:38 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 21)
- 2nd Half (10 - 17)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manawatu won 0.Manawatu is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).In recent matches, Hawkes Bay has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).Hawkes Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Hawkes Bay is the undeniable favorite.In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Manawatu won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 274:446. (average 21.1:34.3).Including home matches between the teams, Manawatu won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 189:216. (average 23.6:27).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| New Zealand NPC | | | 01.09.24 | Manawatu - Hawkes Bay | 26:38 | | 15.09.23 | Hawkes Bay - Manawatu | 57:7 | | 21.08.22 | Manawatu - Hawkes Bay | 17:43 | | 30.10.21 | Manawatu - Hawkes Bay | 31:40 | | 23.10.20 | Hawkes Bay - Manawatu | 47:12 | | 11.08.19 | Manawatu - Hawkes Bay | 13:31 | | 05.10.18 | Hawkes Bay - Manawatu | 45:17 |
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