Match Info

Pro D2 - Round 15

Date: 19 December 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Canal+ Live 5


	Carcassonne		SA XV Charente

	1	X	2
	1.57	21	2.5
	1.57	24	2.43
	1.57	24.66	2.51	Watch
	1.57	26	2.38
	1.55	23	2.54
	1.55	21	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.72)	23.28 ↑ (18.17)	2.49 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 44.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carcassonne
59%

Draw
4%

SA XV Charente
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

5.1%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.9%

6.8%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carcassonne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

SA XV Charente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carcassonne than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carcassonne, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SA XV Charente than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SA XV Charente, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Carcassonne - SA XV Charente Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. SA XV Charente will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. SA XV Charente (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:21

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (7 - 19)
2nd Half (28 - 12)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carcassonne won 2.

Carcassonne has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

SA XV Charente's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

SA XV Charente may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Carcassonne could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that SA XV Charente will win today's game, with odds of 2.31.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Carcassonne won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 181:179. (average 18.1:17.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Carcassonne won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 119:104. (average 19.8:17.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Carcassonne
French Pro D2
12.12.25	Brive - Carcassonne	53:16 ✺
05.12.25	Carcassonne - Vannes	15:52 ✺
28.11.25	Provence Rugby - Carcassonne	48:16 ✺
14.11.25	Carcassonne - Valence Romans Drôme	28:32 ✺
07.11.25	US Dax - Carcassonne	19:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Soyaux Angoulême XV Charente
French Pro D2
11.12.25	SA XV Charente - Agen	22:20 ✺
05.12.25	Béziers - SA XV Charente	15:20 ✺
28.11.25	SA XV Charente - Stade Aurillacois	15:20 ✺
14.11.25	Mont-De-Marsan - SA XV Charente	6:16 ✺
07.11.25	Oyonnax Rugby - SA XV Charente	50:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
17.02.23	Carcassonne - SA XV Charente	15:20
14.10.22	SA XV Charente - Carcassonne	18:6
14.05.21	Carcassonne - SA XV Charente	34:32
23.10.20	SA XV Charente - Carcassonne	8:21
20.12.19	Carcassonne - SA XV Charente	18:18
15.03.19	SA XV Charente - Carcassonne	23:19
24.08.18	Carcassonne - SA XV Charente	18:15

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