Match Info

Date: 14 October 2021, Thursday


	Colomiers		Aviron Bayonnais

	1	X	2
	1.8	21	2
	1.75	23	2.12
	1.73	22	2.1
	1.73	19	2.15
	1.82	25	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.69)	22 ↑ (14)	2.08 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colomiers
51.9%

Draw
4.2%

Aviron Bayonnais
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

6.5%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

6.4%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colomiers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Aviron Bayonnais has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colomiers than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aviron Bayonnais than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aviron Bayonnais, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Colomiers - Aviron Bayonnais Predictions

Users Predictions: Colomiers will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

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Preview

Colomiers is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bayonne is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Colomiers to win the game is with odds 1.75.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Colomiers won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 129-143.

Including matches at home between the teams Colomiers won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 64-47.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colomiers
French Pro D2
08.10.21	Nevers - Colomiers	19:17 ✺
24.09.21	Colomiers - Montauban	41:14 ✺
17.09.21	Rouen Normandie - Colomiers	19:24 ✺
10.09.21	Colomiers - Stade Aurillacois	27:0 ✺
02.09.21	Oyonnax Rugby - Colomiers	21:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LWWWW
- Aviron Bayonnais Rudby
French Pro D2
08.10.21	Aviron Bayonnais - Béziers	20:16 ✺
24.09.21	FC Grenoble - Aviron Bayonnais	13:18 ✺
17.09.21	Aviron Bayonnais - Nevers	23:23 ✺
10.09.21	Vannes - Aviron Bayonnais	18:26 ✺
03.09.21	Stade Aurillacois - Aviron Bayonnais	20:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
22.03.19	Aviron Bayonnais - Colomiers	29:12
07.12.18	Colomiers - Aviron Bayonnais	0:6
06.04.18	Aviron Bayonnais - Colomiers	23:22
03.09.17	Colomiers - Aviron Bayonnais	36:13
29.05.16	Aviron Bayonnais - Colomiers	28:16
28.02.16	Aviron Bayonnais - Colomiers	16:15
13.11.15	Colomiers - Aviron Bayonnais	28:28

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