The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vannes 60.3%
Draw 4.3%
Aviron Bayonnais 35.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.4%
4.1%
33.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.7%
3.9%
35.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vannes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Aviron Bayonnais has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vannes than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aviron Bayonnais than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Vannes - Aviron Bayonnais Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:23
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Vunipola M.
1. Cormenier S.
2. Blanchard C.
2. Martin L.
3. Medrano S.
3. Cotet P.
4. Marks E.
4. Chouzenoux B. (C)
5. Metz F.
5. Paulos L.
6. Augry S.
6. Bruni R.
7. Gorrissen F. (C)
7. Capilla E.
8. Kalamafoni S.
8. Habel Kueffner G.
9. Ruru M.
9. Machenaud M.
10. Lafage M.
10. Segonds J.
11. Rayasi S.
11. Spring T.
12. Saili F.
12. Tuilagi M.
13. Costosseque T.
13. Maqala S.
14. Benmegal E.
14. Carreras M.
15. Surano P.
15. Tiberghien C.
Substitutes
16. Leafa P.
16. van Jaarsveld T.
17. Djehi H.
17. Bordelai A.
18. Bresler A.
18. Poloniati S.
19. Mezou T.
19. Heguy B.
20. Boulier L.
20. Cassiem U.
21. Le Bail J.
21. Rouet G.
22. Vili T.
22. Lopez C.
23. Bourgeois S.
23. Tagi L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (11 - 21)
5', Lafage M. (Penalty Goal),
8', Martin L. (Try),
28', Lafage M. (Penalty Goal),
32', Maqala S. (Try),
32', Segonds J. (Conversion Goal),
38', Surano P. (Try),
40+1', Bruni R. (Try),
40+1', Segonds J. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (10 - 6)
42', Lafage M. (Penalty Goal),
46', Segonds J. (Penalty Goal),
53', (Try),
80', Lafage M. (Try),
80', (Conversion Goal),
Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro D2 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Vannes won 1.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Vannes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Vannes will have a small advantage in this match.
Our prediction for today's Vannes to win the game is with odds 1.48.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Vannes won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 124:138 (average 20.7:23).
Including matches at home between the teams Vannes won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 79:66 (average 26.3:22).