The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
England 90%
Draw 2%
Italy 8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
91%
1.8%
7.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
England has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
Italy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
18.2%
9.1%
72.7%
England - Italy Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. England will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Italy will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Italy: 46.4% – 99%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 38:18
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Genge E.
1. Fischetti D.
2. George J.
2. Nicotera G.
3. Stuart W.
3. Riccioni M.
4. Itoje M. (C)
4. Cannone N.
5. Chessum O.
5. Ruzza F.
6. Curry T.
6. Negri S.
7. Earl B.
7. Lamaro M. (C)
8. Willis T.
8. Vintcent R.
9. Mitchell A.
9. Varney S.
10. Smith F.
10. Garbisi P.
11. Sleightholme O.
11. Gallagher M.
12. Dingwall F.
12. Menoncello T.
13. Lawrence O.
13. Brex N.
14. Freeman T.
14. Ioane M.
15. Daly E.
15. Capuozzo A.
Substitutes
16. Cowan-Dickie L.
16. Lucchesi G.
17. Baxter F.
17. Spagnolo M.
18. Heyes J.
18. Ferrari S.
19. Hill T.
19. Favretto R.
20. Cunningham-South C.
20. Zuliani M.
21. Curry B.
21. Cannone L.
22. van Poortvliet J.
22. Page-Relo M.
23. Smith M.
23. Allan T.
Coaches
. Borthwick S.
. Quesada G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (21 - 17)
3', Willis T. (Try),
3', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
8', Lawrence O. ↓, Smith M. ↑,
13', Capuozzo A. (Try),
14', Garbisi P. (Conversion Goal),
26', Freeman T. (Try),
27', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
30', Vintcent R. (Try),
31', Garbisi P. (Conversion Goal),
34', Sleightholme O. (Try),
35', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
37', Garbisi P. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (26 - 7)
43', Smith M. (Try),
44', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
44', Willis T. ↓, Curry B. ↑,
46', Curry T. (Try),
47', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
47', Riccioni M. ↓, Ferrari S. ↑,
50', Earl B. ↓, Cunningham-South C. ↑,
50', Nicotera G. ↓, Lucchesi G. ↑,
50', Lamaro M. ↓, Zuliani M. ↑,
50', Vintcent R. ↓, Cannone L. ↑,
52', Sleightholme O. (Try),
52', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
53', George J. ↓, Cowan-Dickie L. ↑,
55', Curry T. ↓, Hill T. ↑,
55', Varney S. ↓, Page-Relo M. ↑,
59', Fischetti D. ↓, Spagnolo M. ↑,
59', Genge E. ↓, Baxter F. ↑,
59', Stuart W. ↓, Heyes J. ↑,
59', Hill T. ↓, Earl B. ↑,
63', Mitchell A. ↓, van Poortvliet J. ↑,
68', Cannone N. ↓, Favretto R. ↑,
69', Capuozzo A. ↓, Allan T. ↑,
70', Menoncello T. (Try),
71', Garbisi P. (Conversion Goal),
73', Dingwall F. ↓, Hill T. ↑,
76', Gallagher M. ↓, Capuozzo A. ↑,
80', Earl B. (Try),
80+2', Smith F. (Missed Conversion),
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 4 and 5).
Last 5 head-to-head matches England won 5.
England could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match England is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 13 head-to-head matches England won 13 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 499:153 (average 38.4:11.8).