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Current Win Probability
Exeter Chiefs 73%
Draw 3.9%
Harlequins 23.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
69.9%
4.2%
25.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.5%
4%
29.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Exeter Chiefs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
Harlequins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter Chiefs than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Exeter Chiefs that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harlequins than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Harlequins could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
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Preview
A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 9th and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 2.
Recent results have been tough for Exeter (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Harlequins have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
In this matchup, Exeter is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Exeter has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 546:521 (averaging 27.3:26.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Exeter against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 380:315 goals (averaging 31.7:26.3 per game).
Watch
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