Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Exeter Chiefs		Newcastle Red Bulls

	1	X	2
	1.11	34	6.5
	1.07	35	8
	1.09	28.7	7.65	Watch
	1.06	34	10	Watch
	1.07	40	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.08 ↓ (1.1)	34.34 ↑ (29.93)	8.03 ↑ (7.37)

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-16)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Exeter Chiefs
85.8%

Draw
2.7%

Newcastle Red Bulls
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

84.3%

3.1%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Exeter Chiefs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Newcastle Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 4.

In this match, Exeter enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Exeter has recorded 15 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 546:312 (averaging 27.3:15.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Exeter against this opponent, the record stands at 10 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 353:146 goals (averaging 32.1:13.3 per game).

Outrights of English Premiership Rugby for now

Exeter Chiefs: 4.06% Newcastle Red Bulls: 0.65%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
8	Exeter Chiefs	2	0	0	2	58:85	3
9	Newcastle Red Bulls	2	0	0	2	45:83	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Exeter Chiefs
English Premiership Rugby
02.10.26	Bath - Exeter Chiefs	40:34 ✺
26.09.26	Exeter Chiefs - Gloucester	24:45 ✺
Club Friendly Rugby Union
19.09.26	Cardiff Rugby - Exeter Chiefs	28:33 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
12.09.26	Exeter Chiefs - Bristol Rugby	45:21 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
20.06.26	Northampton Saints - Exeter Chiefs	26:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWWL
- Newcastle Red Bulls
English Premiership Rugby
03.10.26	Newcastle Red Bulls - Leicester Tigers	19:24 ✺
25.09.26	Northampton Saints - Newcastle Red Bulls	59:26 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
12.09.26	Leicester Tigers - Newcastle Red Bulls	24:36 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
06.06.26	Gloucester - Newcastle Red Bulls	54:21 ✺
30.05.26	Newcastle Red Bulls - Sale Sharks	45:42 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Premiership Rugby
27.03.26	Newcastle Red Bulls - Exeter Chiefs	14:38
04.10.25	Exeter Chiefs - Newcastle Red Bulls	38:15
29.03.25	Exeter Chiefs - Newcastle Red Bulls	17:15
18.10.24	Newcastle Red Bulls - Exeter Chiefs	24:18
23.03.24	Exeter Chiefs - Newcastle Red Bulls	25:16
26.11.23	Newcastle Red Bulls - Exeter Chiefs	14:20
11.03.23	Exeter Chiefs - Newcastle Red Bulls	24:5

Exeter Chiefs - Newcastle Red Bulls: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide