Match Info

Premiership Rugby - Round 1

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Sandy Park (Exeter)

Referee: Carley M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Peru	Movistar Deportes
Slovakia	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Spain	M+ Deportes
United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate


	Exeter Chiefs		Gloucester

	1	X	2
	1.36	23	3.2
	1.3	27	3.5
	1.36	22.35	3.35	Watch
	1.37	28	3.15
	1.42	21	3.04	Watch
	1.3	27	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.22)	24.73 ↑ (22.77)	3.29 ↓ (4.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Exeter Chiefs
68.2%

Draw
3.7%

Gloucester
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.9%

4.1%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Exeter Chiefs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Exeter Chiefs's form might have worsened.

Gloucester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gloucester's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Exeter Chiefs - Gloucester Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:26

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Burger E.	1. Rapava-Ruskin V.
2. Yeandle J.	2. Lake D. (C)
3. Iosefa-Scott J.	3. Fasogbon A.
4. Jenkins D. (C)	4. Kleyn J.
5. Wilson H.	5. Clark A.
6. Roots E.	6. Thomas F.
7. James K.	7. Morgan J.
8. Fisilau G.	8. Trenholm W.
9. Varney S.	9. Englefield C.
10. Skinner H.	10. Atkinson C.
11. Woodburn O.	11. Loader B.
12. Butt W.	12. Atkinson S.
13. Slade H.	13. Cokanasiga P.
14. Feyi-Waboso I.	14. Joseph W.
15. Hammersley B.	15. Redshaw B.
Substitutes
16. Gulley L.	16. Innard J.
17. Goodrick-Clarke W.	17. Bleuler D.
18. Roots J.	18. Knight C.
19. Beckerleg O.	19. Clement J.
20. Worley-Brady F.	20. Ludlow L.
21. Murray J.	21. Robson D.
22. Haydon-Wood W.	22. Denny J.
23. Wimbush Z.	23. Barton G.
Coaches
. Baxter R.	. Skivington G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (12 - 26)
4', Loader B. (Try),
6', Atkinson C. (Missed Conversion),
14', Iosefa-Scott J. (Try),
15', Slade H. (Conversion Goal),
18', Atkinson S. (Try),
19', Atkinson C. (Conversion Goal),
22', Loader B. (Try),
23', Atkinson C. (Conversion Goal),
37', Roots E. (Try),
38', Slade H. (Missed Conversion),
40', Lake D. (Try),
40+2', Atkinson C. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (12 - 19)
45', Lake D. (Try),
46', Atkinson C. (Missed Conversion),
53', Rapava-Ruskin V. ↓, Bleuler D. ↑,
53', Fasogbon A. ↓, Knight C. ↑,
53', Kleyn J. ↓, Ludlow L. ↑,
55', Englefield C. ↓, Robson D. ↑,
55', Lake D. ↓, Innard J. ↑,
59', Burger E. ↓, Goodrick-Clarke W. ↑,
59', Iosefa-Scott J. ↓, Roots J. ↑,
59', Yeandle J. ↓, Gulley L. ↑,
59', Joseph W. (Try),
60', Atkinson C. (Conversion Goal),
63', Varney S. (Try),
63', Slade H. (Conversion Goal),
63', Hammersley B. ↓, Haydon-Wood W. ↑,
64', Butt W. ↓, Wimbush Z. ↑,
64', Trenholm W. ↓, Clement J. ↑,
73', Thomas F. 🟨,
74', Roots E. ↓, Beckerleg O. ↑,
74', Wilson H. ↓, Worley-Brady F. ↑,
75', Gulley L. (Try),
77', Slade H. (Missed Conversion),
79', Joseph W. ↓, Barton G. ↑,
80', Denny J. (Try),
80+1', Barton G. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Exeter won 2.

Exeter may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Exeter carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Exeter has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 530:507 (averaging 26.5:25.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Exeter against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 309:194 goals (averaging 30.9:19.4 per game).

Outrights of English Premiership Rugby for now

Gloucester: 4.78% Exeter Chiefs: 4.06%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	Gloucester	2	2	0	0	93:24	10
8	Exeter Chiefs	2	0	0	2	58:85	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Exeter Chiefs
Club Friendly Rugby Union
19.09.26	Cardiff Rugby - Exeter Chiefs	28:33 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
12.09.26	Exeter Chiefs - Bristol Rugby	45:21 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
20.06.26	Northampton Saints - Exeter Chiefs	26:17 ✺
13.06.26	Bath - Exeter Chiefs	26:27 ✺
06.06.26	Exeter Chiefs - Saracens	32:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWLWW
- Gloucester Rugby
English Premiership Rugby Cup
12.09.26	Gloucester - Sale Sharks	43:26 ✺
05.09.26	Bristol Rugby - Gloucester	43:40 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
06.06.26	Gloucester - Newcastle Red Bulls	54:21 ✺
30.05.26	Northampton Saints - Gloucester	36:32 ✺
16.05.26	Saracens - Gloucester	30:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premiership Rugby
26.04.26	Gloucester - Exeter Chiefs	34:31
English Premiership Rugby Cup
14.02.26	Exeter Chiefs - Gloucester	48:14
English Premiership Rugby
25.10.25	Exeter Chiefs - Gloucester	39:12
English Premiership Rugby Cup
12.09.25	Gloucester - Exeter Chiefs	29:15
English Premiership Rugby
27.04.25	Gloucester - Exeter Chiefs	79:17
English Premiership Rugby Cup
15.02.25	Exeter Chiefs - Gloucester	14:22
English Premiership Rugby
29.12.24	Exeter Chiefs - Gloucester	22:15

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