What is the expert prediction for Exeter Chiefs vs Saracens?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Exeter Chiefs vs Saracens. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Exeter Chiefs vs Saracens Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, December 13, 2025)

Match Info

Premiership Women - Round 7

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Sandy Park (Exeter)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	TNT Sports 1


	Exeter Chiefs		Saracens

	1	X	2
	5.4	27	1.15
	1.88	15.80	2.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↓ (5.6)	21.4 ↓ (28)	1.61 ↑ (1.14)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Exeter Chiefs
29.1%

Draw
4.9%

Saracens
66%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.4%

3.3%

80.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Exeter Chiefs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Exeter Chiefs's performance.

Saracens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Saracens might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (14 - 10)
2nd Half (0 - 14)

Preview

In this match, Saracens is the clear favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Exeter Chiefs won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 86:171. (average 17.2:34.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Exeter Chiefs won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 31:78. (average 15.5:39).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Exeter Chiefs Women
English Premiership Rugby Women
16.11.25	Exeter Chiefs - Harlequins	26:19 ✺
15.02.25	Saracens - Exeter Chiefs	21:12 ✺
08.02.25	Bristol - Exeter Chiefs	45:17 ✺
02.02.25	Exeter Chiefs - Harlequins	30:31 ✺
12.01.25	Exeter Chiefs - Bristol	31:41 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WLLLL
- Saracens FC Women
English Premiership Rugby Women
02.11.25	Saracens - Harlequins	47:10 ✺
26.10.25	Gloucester-Hartpury - Saracens	40:14 ✺
16.03.25	Gloucester-Hartpury - Saracens	34:19 ✺
01.03.25	Saracens - Harlequins	32:24 ✺
15.02.25	Saracens - Exeter Chiefs	21:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premiership Rugby Women
15.02.25	Saracens - Exeter Chiefs	21:12
19.05.24	Exeter Chiefs - Saracens	7:57
11.06.23	Exeter Chiefs - Saracens	24:21
14.05.23	Saracens - Exeter Chiefs	29:22
03.06.22	Saracens - Exeter Chiefs	43:21