Match Info

Pro D2 - Round 18

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	CANAL+ Sport


	FC Grenoble		Vannes

	1	X	2
	2.2	19	1.73
	2.13	21	1.75
	2.17	20.12	1.77	Watch
	2.2	21	1.73
	2.28	21	1.69
	2.22	20	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.96)	20.35 ↑ (17.94)	1.72 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 43.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Grenoble
41.9%

Draw
4.5%

Vannes
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

5.2%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

5.1%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Grenoble has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that FC Grenoble's form might have worsened.

Vannes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vannes's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Grenoble than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vannes than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vannes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

FC Grenoble - Vannes Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - FC Grenoble (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: FC Grenoble will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): FC Grenoble will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. FC Grenoble (votes: 9 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 21:23

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (13 - 17)
2nd Half (13 - 12)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, FC Grenoble won 3.

FC Grenoble has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vannes is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

FC Grenoble may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, FC Grenoble won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 262:267. (average 20.2:20.5).

Including home matches between the teams, FC Grenoble won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 123:88. (average 24.6:17.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
6	Grenoble FC	5	3	0	2	164:142	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Grenoble
French Pro D2
16.01.26	FC Grenoble - Agen	45:36 ✺
08.01.26	Provence Rugby - FC Grenoble	45:15 ✺
19.12.25	FC Grenoble - US Dax	24:20 ✺
12.12.25	Valence Romans Drôme - FC Grenoble	33:15 ✺
04.12.25	Colomiers - FC Grenoble	43:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLWLL
- RC Vannes
French Pro D2
17.01.26	Vannes - Brive	35:7 ✺
09.01.26	Vannes - Mont-De-Marsan	47:29 ✺
18.12.25	Béziers - Vannes	23:17 ✺
12.12.25	Vannes - Biarritz	38:20 ✺
05.12.25	Carcassonne - Vannes	15:52 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
16.11.25	Vannes - FC Grenoble	28:18
08.06.24	Vannes - FC Grenoble	16:9
08.03.24	Vannes - FC Grenoble	10:17
30.11.23	FC Grenoble - Vannes	15:12
05.05.23	FC Grenoble - Vannes	27:17
07.10.22	Vannes - FC Grenoble	26:10
14.01.22	FC Grenoble - Vannes	10:25

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