What is the expert prediction for Vannes vs Mont-De-Marsan?

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Vannes vs Mont-De-Marsan Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Friday, January 09, 2026)

Match Info

Pro D2 - Round 16

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday

Location: Stade de la Rabine (Vannes)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Canal+ Live 2


	Vannes		Mont-De-Marsan

	1	X	2
	1.01	51	19
	1.01	35	14
				Watch
	1	34	15
	1.01	29	17.7
	1.01	41	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.01 (1.01)	38 ↓ (45.5)	16.14 ↑ (13)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-28)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vannes
91.8%

Draw
2.4%

Mont-De-Marsan
5.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

90.9%

7.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vannes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Mont-De-Marsan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Mont-De-Marsan will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mont-De-Marsan will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 44:16

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (28 - 15)
2nd Half (19 - 14)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vannes won 2.

Vannes is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mont-De-Marsan's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Vannes is the clear favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Vannes won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 371:366. (average 20.6:20.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Vannes won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 249:129. (average 27.7:14.3).

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Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	Vannes	28	23	1	4	1014:509	110

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Vannes
French Pro D2
18.12.25	Béziers - Vannes	23:17 ✺
12.12.25	Vannes - Biarritz	38:20 ✺
05.12.25	Carcassonne - Vannes	15:52 ✺
28.11.25	Vannes - Agen	36:15 ✺
16.11.25	Vannes - FC Grenoble	28:18 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWWWW
- Mont-De-Marsan
French Pro D2
19.12.25	Mont-De-Marsan - Provence Rugby	25:23 ✺
12.12.25	Stade Aurillacois - Mont-De-Marsan	32:19 ✺
05.12.25	Mont-De-Marsan - Oyonnax Rugby	12:36 ✺
28.11.25	US Dax - Mont-De-Marsan	68:14 ✺
14.11.25	Mont-De-Marsan - SA XV Charente	6:16 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
12.09.25	Mont-De-Marsan - Vannes	30:28
19.01.24	Vannes - Mont-De-Marsan	31:15
25.08.23	Mont-De-Marsan - Vannes	13:22
17.02.23	Mont-De-Marsan - Vannes	30:3
02.12.22	Vannes - Mont-De-Marsan	12:17
28.01.22	Vannes - Mont-De-Marsan	33:10
17.09.21	Mont-De-Marsan - Vannes	46:5