Match Info

Pacific Nations Cup - Round 2

Date: 29 August 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Rugby
Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
Nigeria	SuperSport Rugby
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV2
South-africa	SuperSport Rugby
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Fiji		Tonga

	1	X	2
	1.09	21	7
	1.11	35	6.4
	1.1	34	6.5
	1.09	32.73	7.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.1 ↑ (1.09)	30.68 ↓ (35)	6.79 ↓ (6.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-16)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiji
83.5%

Draw
3%

Tonga
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

83.9%

2.6%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiji has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

The chances for Tonga have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Fiji - Tonga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 36:20

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (17 - 10)
2', Pulu A. (Try),
3', Pellegrini P. (Conversion Goal),
7', Muntz C. (Penalty Goal),
13', Tamanivalu S. (Try),
14', Muntz C. (Conversion Goal),
21', Ravouvou K. (Try),
22', Muntz C. (Conversion Goal),
40', Pellegrini P. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (15 - 0)
56', Muntz C. (Penalty Goal),
63', Ikanivere T. (Try),
64', Muntz C. (Conversion Goal),
68', Rakuro T. (Try),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiji won 5.

Tonga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fiji is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Fiji won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 263:125. (average 32.9:15.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fiji rugby
Friendly International Rugby Union
11.07.25	Fiji - Scotland	29:14 ✺
05.07.25	Australia - Fiji	21:18 ✺
23.11.24	Ireland - Fiji	52:17 ✺
16.11.24	Spain - Fiji	19:33 ✺
10.11.24	Wales - Fiji	19:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLLWW
- Tonga rugby
Pacific Nations Cup Rugby Union
22.08.25	Tonga - Samoa	30:16 ✺
Friendly International Rugby Union
24.11.24	Georgia - Tonga	22:7 ✺
16.11.24	USA - Tonga	36:17 ✺
09.11.24	Romania - Tonga	25:15 ✺
Pacific Nations Cup Rugby Union
14.09.24	Tonga - Canada	30:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Pacific Nations Cup Rugby Union
05.09.24	Tonga - Fiji	19:50
Friendly International Rugby Union
21.07.23	Fiji - Tonga	36:20
Pacific Nations Cup Rugby Union
01.07.22	Fiji - Tonga	36:0
Friendly International Rugby Union
31.08.19	Fiji - Tonga	29:19
Pacific Nations Cup Rugby Union
07.07.17	Tonga - Fiji	10:14
10.06.16	Fiji - Tonga	23:18
17.07.15	Fiji - Tonga	30:22

Fiji - Tonga: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide