Match Info
Six Nations - Round 5Date: 14 March 2026, SaturdayLocation: Stade de France (Paris - Saint-Denis)Referee: Keane R. (Aus)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Africa | TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 5, Oneplay |
Denmark | See, Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | France 2 |
Iceland | Viaplay |
Ireland | RTE 2, RTE News, RTE Player |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport |
Norway | Viaplay |
Portugal | Sport TV7 |
Slovakia | Nova Sport 5, Voyo |
Spain | Movistar Plus+ |
Sweden | Viaplay |
United-kingdom | ITV 1, ITV X, STV, STV Player, UTV |
Usa | Peacock TV Premium, Peacock |
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France |
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England |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.21 |
34 |
5.25 |
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 |
1.15 |
35 |
5.2 |
|
 |
1.17 |
30.32 |
5.69 |
Watch |
 |
1.15 |
29 |
5.5 |
|
 |
1.16 |
40 |
5.11 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.17 ↑ (1.13) |
33.66 ↑ (32.73) |
5.35 ↓ (6.5) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 59.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-15)
- The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
France 79.8% | Draw 2.8% | England 17.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
France has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)England has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)France - England Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. France will win (votes: 3 - 100%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. England (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 38:23 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1. Gros J.
| 1. Genge E.
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2. Marchand J.
| 2. George J.
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3. Aldegheri D.
| 3. Heyes J.
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4. Flament T.
| 4. Itoje M. (C)
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5. Meafou E.
| 5. Coles A.
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6. Cros F.
| 6. Chessum O.
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7. Matiu T.
| 7. Pepper G.
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8. Ollivon C.
| 8. Earl B.
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9. Dupont A. (C)
| 9. Spencer B.
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10. Jalibert M.
| 10. Smith F.
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11. Bielle-Biarrey L.
| 11. Murley C.
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12. Moefana Y.
| 12. Atkinson S.
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13. Barassi P.
| 13. Freeman T.
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14. Attissogbe T.
| 14. Roebuck T.
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15. Ramos T.
| 15. Daly E.
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| Substitutes |
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16. Mauvaka P.
| 16. Cowan-Dickie L.
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17. Neti R.
| 17. Rodd B.
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18. Bamba D.
| 18. Davison T.
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19. Auradou H.
| 19. Cunningham-South C.
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20. Guillard M.
| 20. Underhill S.
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21. Brennan J.
| 21. Pollock H.
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22. Serin B.
| 22. van Poortvliet J.
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23. Gailleton E.
| 23. Smith M.
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| Coaches |
|---|
. Galthie F.
| . Borthwick S.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (24 - 27)
- 7', Bielle-Biarrey L. (Try),
- 8', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
- 10', Roebuck T. (Try),
- 11', Smith F. (Missed Conversion),
- 13', Bielle-Biarrey L. (Try),
- 14', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
- 19', Murley C. (Try),
- 20', Smith F. (Missed Conversion),
- 23', Ramos T. (Penalty Goal),
- 26', Chessum O. (Try),
- 27', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
- 34', Coles A. (Try),
- 35', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
- 38', Earl B. ↓, Pollock H. ↑,
- 38', Smith F. (Penalty Goal),
- 40+2', Genge E. 🟨,
- 40+6', (Penalty Try),
- 2nd Half (24 - 19)
- 41', Matiu T. ↓, Guillard M. ↑,
- 41', Pollock H. ↓, Earl B. ↑,
- 42', Bielle-Biarrey L. (Try),
- 43', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
- 44', Earl B. ↓, Rodd B. ↑,
- 47', Marchand J. ↓, Mauvaka P. ↑,
- 47', Aldegheri D. ↓, Bamba D. ↑,
- 49', Attissogbe T. (Try),
- 50', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
- 51', Chessum O. (Try),
- 52', George J. ↓, Cowan-Dickie L. ↑,
- 52', Smith F. (Missed Conversion),
- 52', Spencer B. ↓, van Poortvliet J. ↑,
- 52', Rodd B. ↓, Earl B. ↑,
- 55', Coles A. ↓, Pollock H. ↑,
- 55', Daly E. ↓, Smith M. ↑,
- 57', Smith M. (Try),
- 58', Smith M. (Conversion Goal),
- 63', Pepper G. ↓, Underhill S. ↑,
- 63', Gros J. ↓, Neti R. ↑,
- 66', Bielle-Biarrey L. (Try),
- 66', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
- 68', Meafou E. ↓, Brennan J. ↑,
- 73', Bamba D. 🟨,
- 76', Genge E. ↓, Rodd B. ↑,
- 76', Heyes J. ↓, Davison T. ↑,
- 77', Earl B. ↓, Cunningham-South C. ↑,
- 77', Freeman T. (Try),
- 78', Smith M. (Conversion Goal),
- 79', Ollivon C. ↓, Auradou H. ↑,
- 79', Neti R. ↓, Gros J. ↑,
- 80+3', Ramos T. (Penalty Goal),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, France won 3. In this match, France is the undeniable favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, France won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 431:421. (average 21.6:21.1).
Standings
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | France | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 218:93 | 21 |
| 2 | England | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 179:105 | 20 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Six Nations | | | 08.02.25 | England - France | 26:25 | | 16.03.24 | France - England | 33:31 | | 11.03.23 | England - France | 10:53 | | 19.03.22 | France - England | 25:13 | | 13.03.21 | England - France | 23:20 | | Autumn Nations Cup Rugby | | | 06.12.20 | England - France | 22:19 OT | | Six Nations | | | 02.02.20 | France - England | 24:17 |
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