Match Info
Six Nations - Round 4Date: 7 March 2026, SaturdayLocation: Murrayfield (Edinburgh)Referee: Gardner A. (Aus)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Africa | SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient |
Asia | Premier Sports Rugby Asia, TV5 Monde Asia |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 1 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6, Oneplay |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | TF 1 |
Iceland | Viaplay |
Ireland | Virgin Media One, Virgin Media Player |
Malta | TSN Malta 1 |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 5, Ziggo Sport |
New-zealand | Sky Sport 1 |
Nigeria | SuperSport Rugby |
Norway | Viaplay |
Portugal | Sport TV6 |
Romania | Digi Sport 4 |
Slovakia | Nova Sport 6, Voyo |
South-africa | SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby |
South-america | TV5 Monde Amerique Latine |
Spain | Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1 |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | TF 1 |
United-kingdom | BBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, Virgin TV Go app |
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 |
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Scotland |
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France |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
4.75 |
36 |
1.24 |
|
 |
4.2 |
23 |
1.22 |
|
 |
3.8 |
27 |
1.27 |
|
 |
4.4 |
25.9 |
1.25 |
Watch |
 |
4 |
26 |
1.25 |
|
 |
4.36 |
26 |
1.23 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.25 ↓ (4.28) |
27.32 ↑ (25.48) |
1.24 ↑ (1.23) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 54.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-11)
- The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Scotland 21.9% | Draw 3.4% | France 74.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Scotland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)France has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Scotland - France Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. France will win (votes: 4 - 100%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Scotland (votes: 1 - 33.3%). France (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -10.5 - France (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Scotland (votes: 1 - 25%). France (votes: 3 - 75%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:33 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1. Schoeman P.
| 1. Gros J.
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2. Turner G.
| 2. Marchand J.
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3. Rae D.
| 3. Aldegheri D.
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4. Brown G.
| 4. Ollivon C.
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5. Cummings S.
| 5. Guillard M.
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6. Fagerson M.
| 6. Cros F.
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7. Darge R.
| 7. Jegou O.
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8. Dempsey J.
| 8. Jelonch A.
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9. White B.
| 9. Dupont A. (C)
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10. Russell F.
| 10. Jalibert M.
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11. Steyn K.
| 11. Bielle-Biarrey L.
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12. Tuipulotu S. (C)
| 12. Moefana Y.
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13. Jones H.
| 13. Depoortere N.
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14. Graham D.
| 14. Attissogbe T.
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15. Kinghorn B.
| 15. Ramos T.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
16. Ashman E.
| 16. Mauvaka P.
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17. Sutherland R.
| 17. Neti R.
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18. Fagerson Z.
| 18. Bamba D.
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19. Gilchrist G.
| 19. Flament T.
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20. Douglas F.
| 20. Meafou E.
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21. Bayliss J.
| 21. Nouchi L.
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22. Horne G.
| 22. Serin B.
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23. Jordan T.
| 23. Barassi P.
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| Coaches |
|---|
. Townsend G.
| . Galthie F.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (19 - 14)
- 5', Graham D. (Try),
- 6', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
- 18', Bielle-Biarrey L. (Try),
- 19', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
- 22', Attissogbe T. (Try),
- 23', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
- 27', Steyn K. (Try),
- 28', Russell F. (Missed Conversion),
- 32', Schoeman P. (Try),
- 33', Jalibert M. 🟨,
- 34', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
- 34', Brown G. ↓, Gilchrist G. ↑,
- 40', Rae D. ↓, Fagerson Z. ↑,
- 2nd Half (31 - 26)
- 43', Jelonch A. ↓, Nouchi L. ↑,
- 44', White B. (Try),
- 45', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
- 45', Marchand J. ↓, Mauvaka P. ↑,
- 45', Ollivon C. ↓, Flament T. ↑,
- 45', Guillard M. ↓, Meafou E. ↑,
- 45', Depoortere N. ↓, Barassi P. ↑,
- 51', Steyn K. (Try),
- 52', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
- 52', Turner G. ↓, Ashman E. ↑,
- 52', Cummings S. ↓, Bayliss J. ↑,
- 52', Aldegheri D. ↓, Bamba D. ↑,
- 52', Gros J. ↓, Neti R. ↑,
- 56', Jones H. ↓, Jordan T. ↑,
- 59', Graham D. (Try),
- 59', Nouchi L. 🟨,
- 60', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
- 63', Jordan T. (Try),
- 64', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
- 64', Schoeman P. ↓, Sutherland R. ↑,
- 64', White B. ↓, Horne G. ↑,
- 66', Dupont A. (Try),
- 67', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
- 67', Fagerson M. ↓, Douglas F. ↑,
- 69', Dupont A. ↓, Serin B. ↑,
- 74', Ramos T. (Try),
- 75', Ramos T. (Missed Conversion),
- 78', Russell F. (Penalty Goal),
- 79', Barassi P. (Try),
- 79', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
- 79', Bayliss J. 🟨,
- 80+1', Ramos T. (Try),
- 80+2', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Scotland won 1. In this match, France is a strong favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Scotland won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 356:451. (average 17.8:22.6).
Standings
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | France | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 218:93 | 21 |
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| 4 | Scotland | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 115:131 | 11 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Six Nations | | | 15.03.25 | France - Scotland | 35:16 | | 10.02.24 | Scotland - France | 16:20 | | Friendly International Rugby Union | | | 12.08.23 | France - Scotland | 30:27 | | 05.08.23 | Scotland - France | 25:21 | | Six Nations | | | 26.02.23 | France - Scotland | 32:21 | | 26.02.22 | Scotland - France | 17:36 | | 26.03.21 | France - Scotland | 23:27 |
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