Match Info

EUROPE: CHALLENGE CUP - ROUND 2

Date: 15 December 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports Max


	Gloucester		Clermont

	1	X	2
	1.57	21	2.5
	1.62	21	2.3
				Watch
	1.67	21	2.25
	1.66	26	2.28
	1.65	22	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.55)	22.2 ↑ (20.75)	2.32 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 51.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Gloucester
56.3%

Draw
4.1%

Clermont
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

4.4%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.4%

5.5%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gloucester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Clermont has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester than the current prediction. (+17.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gloucester, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Clermont, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gloucester - Clermont Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:25

#ad

Preview

Gloucester is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Clermont is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gloucester will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gloucester Rugby
Challenge Cup Rugby
09.12.23	Black Lion - Gloucester	10:15 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
02.12.23	Bristol Rugby - Gloucester	51:26 ✺
25.11.23	Gloucester - Leicester Tigers	20:38 ✺
19.11.23	Exeter Chiefs - Gloucester	25:24 ✺
10.11.23	Gloucester - Bath	27:45 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLLLL
- ASM Clermont Auvergne
Challenge Cup Rugby
08.12.23	Clermont - Edinburgh	31:18 ✺
French Top 14
02.12.23	Clermont - Racing Métro	23:18 ✺
25.11.23	Toulouse - Clermont	31:10 ✺
18.11.23	Clermont - Toulon	27:30 ✺
11.11.23	Montpellier - Clermont	17:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLLW

Upcoming Matches